President Donald Trump is scheduled to visit an Apple facility in Austin this week. We’ve rounded up the most recent polling data from the University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll on Texans’ attitudes toward the president.

Presidential Job Approval

The president’s overall job approval is in net-negative territory in Texas.

Loading chart... category Total Approve strongly 32% Approve somewhat 15% Neither approve nor disapprove 4% Disapprove somewhat 6% Disapprove strongly 42% Don't know 1% × Share







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Job approval is, unsurprisingly, polarized along party line, with disapproval among Democrats more intense (83% strongly disapprove) than approval among Republicans (61% strongly disapprove). Independents as a group disapprove of the president’s job performance on balance, with 41% approving and 51% disapproving.

Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican Approve strongly 4% 25% 61% Approve somewhat 2% 16% 27% Neither approve nor disapprove 3% 8% 4% Disapprove somewhat 7% 12% 4% Disapprove strongly 83% 39% 4% Don't know 1% 0% 1% × Share







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Approval in Texas reflects strong rural support with more divided opinions in urban and suburban areas of the state.

Loading chart... category Urban Suburban Rural Approve strongly 22% 34% 45% Approve somewhat 14% 14% 18% Neither approve nor disapprove 6% 4% 1% Disapprove somewhat 7% 5% 7% Disapprove strongly 50% 42% 27% Don't know 0% 1% 2% × Share







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The president’s job approval has remained remarkably consistent over the first three years of his presidency in Texas, buttressed by intense partisan support (among Republicans) and opposition (among Democrats).

Loading chart... category Approve Disapprove Neither/Don't know February 2017 46% 44% 11% June 2017 43% 51% 7% October 2017 45% 50% 6% February 2018 46% 46% 8% June 2018 47% 44% 8% October 2018 48% 45% 6% February 2019 49% 45% 6% June 2019 52% 44% 5% October 2019 47% 48% 5% February 2020 45% 48% 7% April 2020 49% 45% 6% June 2020 46% 48% 6% × Share







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Loading chart... Poll Approve Disapprove Neither/Don't know February 2017 81% 10% 8% June 2017 80% 13% 7% October 2017 78% 15% 7% February 2018 83% 11% 5% June 2018 87% 7% 6% October 2018 88% 7% 4% February 2019 88% 8% 5% June 2019 88% 8% 5% October 2019 88% 8% 5% February 2020 87% 9% 4% April 2020 90% 7% 3% June 2020 86% 8% 6% × Share







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Loading chart... Poll Approve Disapprove Neither/Don't know February 2017 8% 83% 10% June 2017 5% 90% 5% October 2017 5% 92% 4% February 2018 8% 85% 8% June 2018 8% 84% 9% October 2018 6% 91% 4% February 2019 7% 88% 5% June 2019 11% 86% 4% October 2019 6% 90% 4% February 2020 5% 89% 6% April 2020 7% 86% 6% June 2020 5% 93% 2% × Share







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Impeachment

With impeachment hearings looming when data collection for the October poll (October 18-27) took place, we asked a battery of items regarding attitudes toward the impeachment process and the major institutional actors involved.

Overall, a slim majority of Texans thought Congress was justified in “conducting impeachment investigations into actions Donald Trump has taken while president?"

Responses to this question again showed polarization along party lines, with slightly more consensus among Democrats than among Republicans. While the lower level of intensity among Republicans doesn’t appear to be decisive in any way, it provides an interesting baseline moving into the 2020 election.

Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican Yes 84% 46% 13% No 6% 32% 78% Unsure 6% 11% 4% Don't know/No opinion 4% 11% 5% × Share







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As a group, women were less likely to have settled on a view of undertaking the impeachment process than men.

When asked about whether Trump should be removed from office – the possible consequence of impeachment – based on current knowledge, Texas voters are effectively evenly divided.

The familiar partisan split is present, though with a 5-percentage-point drop in Democratic support for removal.

Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican Yes 79% 34% 12% No 10% 33% 79% Unsure 7% 24% 5% Don't know/No opinion 4% 9% 4% × Share







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Removal of Trump from office has much more support in urban areas, and support of the president not being removed before he has served out his term is strongest among rural Texans.

Loading chart... category Urban Suburban Rural Yes 56% 41% 28% No 28% 47% 63% Unsure 11% 7% 4% Don't know/No opinion 5% 4% 5% × Share







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Both the gender gap in support for the president, in part a function of gender differences in party identification, and the increased willingness of women to not take a position in polling, are evident on this item.

Approval ratings of how President Trump is responding to the impeachment investigation track closely with his job approval ratings, though overall assessment in this area is more negative overall.

Loading chart... category Total Approve strongly 25% Approve somewhat 14% Neither approve nor disapprove 10% Disapprove somewhat 7% Disapprove strongly 38% Don't know 6% × Share







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Partisan assessments resemble other assessments of Trump: Republicans are overwhelmingly positive, but less intense so that the negative assessments of Democrats.

Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican Approve strongly 6% 18% 45% Approve somewhat 4% 15% 23% Neither approve nor disapprove 5% 22% 11% Disapprove somewhat 7% 6% 7% Disapprove strongly 73% 37% 6% Don't know 6% 1% 8% × Share







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Net approval of Trump’s response to impeachment is positive (+11) among men, very negative (-20) among women.

Loading chart... category Male Female Approve strongly 33% 19% Approve somewhat 17% 11% Neither approve nor disapprove 9% 11% Disapprove somewhat 6% 8% Disapprove strongly 33% 42% Don't know 2% 10% × Share







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2020 Election

When asked about their vote intentions for the 2020 Election, 48% of respondents said that they would definitely (40%) or probably (8%) vote to re-elect Donald Trump, while 52% said that they would probably (6%) or definitely (46%) vote for someone else.

Loading chart... category Total Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump 40% Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump 8% Probably vote for someone else 6% Definitely vote for someone else 46% × Share







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And while Democrats and Republicans, unsurprisingly, line up in opposite corners on their intentions with respect to the President’s re-election, the newly, (potentially) competitive political environment in Texas makes the views of political independents more consequential for the contest. Among this group, 38% said that they would be supporting the President’s re-election, while 63% said that they would be voting for someone else.

Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump 4% 28% 76% Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump 2% 10% 13% Probably vote for someone else 4% 15% 6% Definitely vote for someone else 90% 47% 5% × Share







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While Republican support for the President may look “soft”, this is a reflection of where we are in the contest. Republicans aren’t choosing between the current Republican president and a specific Democratic challenger, but are instead evaluating their intention to support re-electing the president, given any hypothetical challenger. We should expect partisans to re-establish their support of the president as the contest wears on, and in particular, when the Democratic nominee emerges from that process. This is already apparent in the data. When asked whether they would vote for President Trump or Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Beto O’Rourke (fielded before he dropped out of the presidential nominating contest), and Julian Castro, respectively, a plurality of Texans said they would be voting for Trump over each contestant, including at least 88% of Republicans in each match-up.

Views of Economy & Right Track/Wrong Direction

If you’ve made it this far, you’re likely aware of the importance in economic, and general summary evaluations on national election outcomes. Below are a few results highlighting Texans’ attitudes towards the economy and the general direction of the country as the president attempts to focus on the economy in a visit to the facility of one of the most recognized American corporations in the world.

Loading chart... category Total A lot better off 24% Somewhat better off 21% About the same 24% Somewhat worse off 16% A lot worse off 8% Don't know 6% × Share







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Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican A lot better off 6% 13% 45% Somewhat better off 8% 32% 31% About the same 34% 21% 15% Somewhat worse off 31% 14% 4% A lot worse off 15% 7% 1% Don't know 6% 12% 4% × Share







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Loading chart... category Democrat Independent Republican Right direction 8% 35% 65% Wrong track 86% 52% 24% Don't know 6% 14% 11% × Share







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Still more Trump: Our data archive contains over 100 items related to Donald Trump going back to 2015. You can page through them by looking at a compendium of results tagged with his name at the Texas Politics Project website. Note that you can narrow these down by other tags (like year and month) using the same search menu at that page. If you use the “share” tag in the upper right hand corner of each individual graphics, you’ll find links for downloading graphics in multiple file formats, and buttons for social media sharing.