Title: Counting Substructures with Higher-Order Graph Neural Networks:  Possibility and Impossibility Results. Abstract: While message passing Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become increasingly popular architectures for learning with graphs, recent works have revealed important shortcomings in their expressive power. In response, several higher-order GNNs have been proposed that substantially increase the expressive power, albeit at a large computational cost. Motivated by this gap, we explore alternative strategies and lower bounds. In particular, we analyze a new recursive pooling technique of local neighborhoods that allows different tradeoffs of computational cost and expressive power. First, we prove that this model can count subgraphs of size $k$, and thereby overcomes a known limitation of low-order GNNs. Second, we show how recursive pooling can exploit sparsity to reduce the computational complexity compared to the existing higher-order GNNs. More generally, we provide a (near) matching information-theoretic lower bound for counting subgraphs with graph representations that pool over representations of derived (sub-)graphs. We also discuss lower bounds on time complexity.