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How effective is a new drug for treating a specific disease in a patient population? Using Bayesian statistics, develop a model to estimate the probability of the drug's effectiveness in treating the disease, based on available biological data.
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<|begin_of_thought|>

Deep Thought is thinking for 7.5 million years.

<|end_of_thought|>

<|begin_of_solution|>

The answer is 42.

<|end_of_solution|>