An example of when such approach would be necessary is a situation in which an experimenter bends a coin slightly and tosses it once, recording whether it comes up heads, and is then given the task of predicting the probability that the next flip comes up heads.
Primjer kada bi takav pristup bio potreban je situacija u kojoj eksperimentator lagano savija novčić i baca ga jednom, bilježeći dolazi li do glava, i tada mu je dana zadaća predviđanja vjerojatnosti da će sljedeći poklopac doći do glave.