Thats a unique idea.You should consider the following idea to enhance your idea so that it would impact uniquely: The goal of this paper is to test and model nonlinearities in several monthly exchange rates time series.  apply two different nonlinear alternatives, namely: the artificial neural-network time series model estimated with Bayesian regularization; and a flexible smooth transition specification, called the neuro-coefficient smooth transition autoregression. The linearity test rejects the null hypothesis of linearity in 10 out of 14 series.  compare, using different measures, the forecasting performance of the nonlinear specifications with the linear autoregression and the random walk models.
['Marcelo C. Medeiros', 'Alvaro Veiga', 'Carlos Eduardo Pedreira']
I am writing a research paper on a idea Modeling exchange rates: smooth transitions, neural networks, and linear models
[{"from": "human", "value": "I am writing a research paper on a idea Modeling exchange rates: smooth transitions, neural networks, and linear models"}, {"from": "gpt", "value": "Thats a unique idea.You should consider the following idea to enhance your idea so that it would impact uniquely: The goal of this paper is to test and model nonlinearities in several monthly exchange rates time series.  apply two different nonlinear alternatives, namely: the artificial neural-network time series model estimated with Bayesian regularization; and a flexible smooth transition specification, called the neuro-coefficient smooth transition autoregression. The linearity test rejects the null hypothesis of linearity in 10 out of 14 series.  compare, using different measures, the forecasting performance of the nonlinear specifications with the linear autoregression and the random walk models."}]