darjeelingjalpaiguri the decision of the gorkha janmukti morcha gjm leadership to part ways with the trinamool congress to join hands with the bjp is likely to have a cascading effect on the nepali speaking population in as many as three lok sabha seats darjeeling alipurduars and jalpaiguri in 2009 bjps jaswant singh had romped home bagging 51 votes in darjeeling constituency as the gjm had rolled out a red carpet for him this may not happen this time with mahendra p lama the gorkhaland ideologue and trinamools baichung bhutia claiming their share of the vote bank in the three hill subdivisions darjeeling kalimpong and kurseong this apart baichung has bright prospects in the plains of siliguri where trinamool has gained new support base but the contest in darjeeling will cast a shadow in the adjoining lok sabha seats of alipurduars and jalpaiguri where the alliance candidates congress and trinamool enjoyed gjms support trinamool here might be facing a fourpronged contest with congress left front the bjp and the gjm throwing its weight behind the bjp the gjms support could be a bonus for the bjp in the nepalidominated assembly segments of alipurduars namely kalchini birparamadarihat and nagrakata trinamool candidate dasarath tirkey will thus have to bank on didi magic to offset the surge in bjp votes but even if the gjm goes with the bjp tirkey can make up for the apparent loss if the akhil bhartiya adivasi vikas parishad abavp stands solidly by mamata banerjee in the elections the same logic holds true for the jalpaiguri seat in 2011 the alliance candidates in malbazar and dabgramfulbari assembly seats got the gjms support but that wont be there this time with the gjm supporting the bjp its vote share might go up from mere 915 garnered in 2009 trinamool has to depend on the abavp support here as well without this the contest may turn in favour of the left front that polled more than 40 votes in these constituencies despite the erosion in support base the reason is its support base among the rajbanshis and bengalispeaking voters in the plains and a considerable support among tribals working in tea gardens it goes without saying that the left front has suffered erosion in tea gardens and also in the plains yet it is still ahead of trinamool and congress in these two constituencies the only change is that the gjm and the abavp have emerged as game changers a change in their support may upset calculations for mainstream parties