that the collapsing economy and increased fighting between ethnic militias and the myanmar military in the wake of the coup will see a surge in illicit activity to finance armed groups the lure of vice will also be strong for those who have lost their jobs or businesses they add 30 of 36 said it was likely to take more than a year including nine who predicted it to take more than two yearsthe outlook for economic growth is bleak and there are now signs that the postlockdown recovery has stalled before it ever really got going said darren aw asia economist at capital economics in singapore