kochi kerala which has 26 of the countrys population and occupies 12 of the countrys land area is likely to add another 41 lakh cases by september 10 which is more than 50 of the estimated over 8 lakh new covid cases projected for india as per a new report with increase in cases the state is expected to contribute about 35 of the total new covid deaths in the country ahead of maharashtra that is expected to contribute about 21 deathscovid19 wave 2 trend analysis and projection report prepared by project jeevan raksha a publicprivate partnership initiative of proxima and public health foundation of india phfi has been submitted to the state and central government every month they have been coming out with projections and their accuracy so far in most states has been above 90 including in keralahigh density of population is creating multiple challenges for the administration all the 14 districts are equally affected which is a limitation to optimize the available limited resources at this juncture it is time for kerala to use its community participation it should become the driving force to enforce containment at the block level in their own interest and the people around them the local community leaders should drive 100 compliance of covidappropriate behavior said mysore sanjeev convener project jeevan rakshaas on august 10 the state had 3586693 total confirmed covid cases and 18004 deaths the projections show that postonam the cases may go up if covid management and microcontainment measures on the ground remain ineffective and inefficient rising to a total of 40 lakh cases and 21925 deaths kerala now on a daily basis sees 20000plus cases and its tpr is above 14 with testing less than 15 lakh samples on the positive side like several states underreporting from kerala is less last year postonam there was a surge in covid cases with the state seeing a fourtimes increase in daily cases from 1800 cases per day it jumped to 7600 per day after the festive season this year we are already at a very high plateau of 20000plus but lots of things have changed now our susceptible population has significantly decreased from 90 to 50 and with vaccination hospitalizations will hopefully be less but unlike last onam when we had a milder covid variant this time we have threetimes more transmissible delta variant double masking and avoiding closed spaces is key or we may cross the previous peak of 40000 cases said dr padmanabha shenoy public health expert who has been analyzing covid patterns across india on a weekly basis