<caption><image_241>The image shows a man sitting on a stage with a microphone in his hand. He is wearing a dark suit and glasses and appears to be giving a presentation. He has a serious expression on his face and is gesturing with his hands as he speaks. There are two bottles of water on the stage in front of him. The background is dark and there is a large screen behind him with the words "TOTAL SOCIETY" written on it.</caption><transcript><audio_242> Unsicherheit möchte ich sagen, dass wir immer, wenn wir Modelle berechnen, wenn wir über die Zukunft nachdenken, dann ist es nicht zwangsläufig die Unsicherheit, die das so besonders macht, sondern die...</transcript><transcript><audio_243> Das heißt also, wir können nur unterschiedliche Szenarien berechnen, die auf gewissen Vorgaben, auf gewissen Bedingungen beruhen. Das ist nicht das gleiche wie der Wetterbericht.</transcript><transcript><audio_244> Wetterbericht von morgen nicht oder das Wetter von morgen nicht verändern. Aber alles andere, was man berechnet, ist ein Szenario. Das heißt, wenn das und das und das so korrekt ist, wovon ich ausgehe, wenn diese Annahme</transcript><transcript><audio_245> gerade über das Potenzial, das zukünftige Potenzial von KI sprechen, dann gibt es da eine Tendenz, dass man zum Beispiel einfach sagt, wir wissen noch nicht genau, was passieren wird. Und</transcript><transcript><audio_246> was besser weiß oder weniger gut weiß. Es geht nicht um Unsicherheit da oder um Wahrscheinlichkeiten. Es geht darum, die Verbindung</transcript><transcript><audio_247> zu verstehen und wie wir sie in Zukunft schaffen werden. Das ist wirklich zentral. Und jetzt weiß ich nicht mehr ganz genau,</transcript><transcript><audio_248> Ja.</transcript> Now on this topic of uncertainty, I would like to say that whenever we calculate models when we think about the future, it is not necessarily the uncertainty that is so special but the connections and the dependencies that means we can only calculate different scenarios that are based on certain specifications and certain conditions and that is not the same as the weather report, so you ca n't change tomorrow's weather report or change tomorrow's weather, but  Everything else that you calculate is a scenario, that is, if this and that and that is correct, which is what I assume, if this assumption that happens and if we are talking about the potential, the future potential of AI, for example, then there is one  There is a tendency, for example, to simply say, well, we do n't yet know exactly what will happen and that doesn't mean that we know something better or less well, it's not about uncertainty or probabilities, it's about understanding the connections of relationships today and how we do  they will create in the future that is really central and now I don't know was if you want to understand what the political economic conditions are that we have to create today that we create through decoupling and not just through
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