Morgan Stanley unveils its Deflation Enablers stock shopping list
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Persistent inflation will give rise to transformational investment across industries, according to Morgan Stanley.
"While cyclical forces tend to deter investment in an uncertain macro environment, we believe structural changes in demographics, energy policy and security, and an aging capital base make technologies focused on cost reductions and productivity more valuable," analyst Joshua Pokrzywinski wrote in a note.
"Focusing on stocks that enable this productivity and cost reduction through automation, efficiency, or their own declining cost curves while maintaining strong barriers to entry and attractive equity risk/reward, we created a Deflation Enabler shopping list," he said.
A Deflation Enabler is a company producing tangible cost savings for customers where costs are rising from inflation or scarcity, Joshua Pokrzywinski added.
The index handily outperformed the MSCI World Index (URTH) from July 2019 to January 22, but has trailed year to date.
The list by subsector is:
Automation (hardware)

Fanuc (OTCPK:FANUY)
Teradyne (NASDAQ:TER)
Trane Technologies (TT)
SmartRent (SMRT)
NCR (NCR)

Automation (software)

Appian (NASDAQ:APPN)
Salesforce (CRM)
ServiceNow (NOW)
UiPath (PATH)

Autos, Logistics & Mobility

ArcBest (ARCB)
Knight-Swift (KNX)
Schneider National (SNDR)
Tesla (TSLA)
TuSimple (TSP)
Werner (WERN)
TFI International (TFII)
U.S. Xpress (USX)
XPO (XPO)

Clean & Alternative Energy

AES (AES)
Cheniere (LNG)
LONGi
New Fortress (NFE)
Plug Power (PLUG)
Shoals (SHLS)
Sunrun (RUN)

Diagnostics & Drug Discovery

Certara (CERT)
Eurofins
Exscientia (EXAI)
Schrodinger (SDGR)
Veeva Systems (VEEV)

Materials

II-VI (IIVI)
Wolfspeed (WOLF)

Semiconductors

AMEC
Hua Hong (OTCPK:HHUSF)
Nuvoton
Realtek (OTCPK:RLTKF)
StarPower
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)
Yangjie

Software (EU & U.S.)

Autodesk (ADSK)
Dassault (OTCPK:DASTY)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Samsara (IOT)
SAP (SAP)

Supply Chain Efficiency (Software)

C3.ai (AI)
Palantir (PLTR)
Snowflake (SNOW)

Telecom
BT
SA's Cullen Roche wrote that the risk of deflation is now greater than that of prolonged inflation.