 So the leading indicators are all the things that show what the economy's doing, and it says it's been contracting. Usually when that happens, historically, every time it's been down that much, we end up in a recession. So we're not in a recession yet. So they go to the next step and say, in the regular economy, there's a cyclical economy, which is part of the economy that usually goes into recession first and comes out of recession first. So it's cyclical. It's more affected by demand.