 Okay? So today, RealClearPolitics average a poll says Trump is winning by three points. That means he's actually leading by almost five points, 4.9. Fair enough? Okay. All right, now, let's use some math here. We're going to figure out the real state of the race by comparing the polling today to the polling four years ago and adjusting the state-level results by that difference. Okay. All right, so doing the math.