 This poll shows that if you include leaners, Donald Trump is up 48 to 42 on Joe Biden, a six-point lead. A disastrous result for Joe Biden. 10% say they don't know or they refused. You figure those are going to split right down the middle. If anything, they might favor Trump. There might be a bunch of people who don't want to tell the New York Times they're going to vote for Trump. Now look at these numbers. Joe Biden loses to Donald Trump among men 54 to 36. He only wins women 47 to 43.