 Noting that, yes, either Biden or Trump could win, but the odds are in the ex-president's favor. Using a wildly complex model of analyzing data, Silver concluded that at the moment, Trump has a 66% chance of winning. Now, we will see whether debate changes that. Also, just like with any other major news event, we will need to give it about a week or so for things to happen. So remember, important things to remember is that this could change. It always can with polls, but the latest results are not what Democrats want.