 The Middle East is going to erupt in war, and perhaps the Pacific theater will then be the focus with China and Taiwan. Trump may have dodged a bullet, no doubt. But isn't it obvious for the moment the timeline rests at a crossroads, as we talked about the other night? This is something called the John Barr hinge, for those of you that are literary. A John Barr hinge is basically, well, a John Barr point is a concept of a crucial point of divergence between two outcomes.