 In Pennsylvania, Trump's up 4.8 in the polling average. Wisconsin up 2.6. North Carolina, 5.8. Nevada, 5.2. For a Republican in Nevada, you need to be about five points ahead to actually win the state. Michigan, Trump up 1.2. Georgia, Trump up four. Arizona, Trump up 5.4. That's the polling average, not the individual polls. That's the polling average.