 Arguably the most powerful single economic policymaker in the country briefs lawmakers in Congress starting in just a few minutes. Jerome Powell has his finger on interest rates, but the signs are conflicting. When the government counts up names on payrolls, the labor market seems strong. When the government contacts individual homes and asks who's working or looking for work, that shows the unemployment rate going the wrong way, rising to 4.1%. Jeffrey Cleveland is chief economist at Payton and Regal in Los Angeles.