 Remember, shelter makes up about a third of the consumer price index. The other two thirds are clothing, medical care, food, basically everything else. And so if the two thirds everything else is low enough, that's going to get us below 2%. So mathematically possible, but not likely, says Ben Ayers, a senior economist at Nationwide. It's going to be very difficult. He says if shelter inflation cools to the 3% range, that could help get inflation overall closer to 2%.