 We're in a year post El Nino. We anticipate it being warm. The water's warm and we've gotten out of El Nino, so less wind shear. But on top of that, you have human emissions helping to amplify this natural variability. You saw the track taking into the Yucatan by Friday, but every little inch is going to count. If it slides further east after the weekend, I want anyone on the west coast of the Gulf Coast of Mexico to pay close attention. And here in Phoenix, all the way up to Redding, California, we've got the heat building the holiday and into next week.