 Vladimir Putin does not like the unpredictability of Donald Trump. He actually doesn't like it very much, which is why he didn't invade Ukraine while Donald Trump was president. He did it while Obama was president in 2014. He did it while Biden was president in 2022. He didn't do it while Trump was president. So what happens if Donald Trump starts to open up a big lead? If Donald Trump does well tonight, the lead that he has in the polling data is going to increase by a point or two. And suddenly it looks like a five-point Trump lead or a six-point Trump lead among likely voters.