 So, those are not good numbers. And it's not just Nate Silver who is pointing all of this out. The RealClearPolitics polling average shows Donald Trump with a lead of 5.5 points in Pennsylvania, above 2 in Wisconsin, about 1 in Michigan, 5 in Arizona, 4 in Georgia, 5 in Nevada, 6 in North Carolina. The polymarket odds currently have Donald Trump as a 63% favorite over Joe Biden at 19% with Kamala Harris clocking in at 10%.