 I think the emergence of the caliphate was really a perfect storm of some factors that could have been clearly identified and some that were really unpredicted. And the legacy of the Arab Spring and the results of that, so for example, the civil war in Syria, was one of these factors that did help facilitate in some ways the emergence of the caliphate. And at that time in Iraq, there was also quite a lot of sectarian grievances present, which also had a compounding factor in this. But some of these things, again, might have been picked up by intelligence services, but I