 Mondale himself laughed. And that basically ended the race right there in that debate. Sagar Magani, Washington. In the meantime, former President Trump is beating President Biden by four points among likely voters in a new poll ahead of tonight's debate. The New York Times-Siena College poll found that 48% of likely voters said they'd vote for Trump in a hypothetical matchup between him and Biden. 44% said they'd vote for Biden.