 The state of the race is on night two of the Republican Convention. Donald Trump is leading in this race. Significantly, if you look deep into the polling, he has a chance to build on it. New numbers out today, more bad news for the president. Well, let's look through it, but let's start with the then. This is back in 2020 when Joe Biden won a pretty convincing win, 306 to 232. This is the map as it fills in. Remember the then when you look at the now, because the striking, the difference is striking. This is how our CNN political unit, led by David Chalian, projects the race right now.