 gives Trump a 66% chance of winning. If it were held today in the key swing states that determine the outcome of this election, Trump is winning all of them, many of which are beyond the margin of error. If it were held today, he's now leading nationally in just about every single poll. And states that have never been in play, like Minneapolis, are suddenly back in play. Really think about that. He is, right now, fighting for his political life on this stage tonight.