ASSESSMENT OF REQUIRED TECHNOLOGICAL RESOURCES BY STATISTICAL SIMULATION
The article deals with the issues of ensuring the efficient operation of the terminal as a platform for active interaction at the “ junction” of various modes of transport. Effective engineering, planning and management of the terminal is provided by its performance, which is defined as the number of operations performed for the selected time interval. In this case, the performance is described as the random and average value entered. The transformation of mathematical methods to the adequate definition of productivity has been perfomed, namely, multiple experiments and statistical tests (Monte Carlo method), using the confidence interval methods, simulated simulations to generate random variables according to a given distribution law to obtain the distribution of a new random quantity, the number of technological lines for mastering the estimated volume of the operation flow of the container terminal. The results allow us to formulate methods of calculation and analytical approach in terms of assessing the requirements for the calculations that ensure the implementation of time-varying volumes of operations. At the same time, we must understand that the consequences of time exceeding the requirements over the average values of this method cannot be estimated because it requires the use of a different paradigm that takes into account the internal state of the system - simulation modeling. As a result of the study, the difference in the calculations according to the proposed methods was no more than 5 %, which testifies the reliability and applicability of the proposed approach.The conclusion that the use of statistical testing methods, as well as the calculation of average values (which offer regulatory computational and analytical methods) can successfully be used to evaluate the requirements for the results, providing performance dynamic time volumes transport operations in order to optimize the transport process.