Simulation of bryansk region socio-economic development for information advising system
By today the problem of the region economic development simulation for informed management decision makings had gained a high relevance. The authors offer an algorithm for the formation of mathematical dependences allowing the prediction of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation in the information advising system under development. On its basis in the program module Statistica there were formed regression equations describing the most significant trends in the socioeconomic development of the Bryansk region. For the functions obtained there was defined a correspondence degree of the trend model to initial data. The models formed take into account actual data on region socioeconomic development indices of 2012-2017 and their predicted values for 2018-2019 taken from scenario conditions of the Bryansk region economy development. The data obtained may be used by a regional government at the formation of management decisions in the information advising system under development.