Improving Strategic Planning by Modeling Transport and Production Processes
The unpredictability of external and internal factors affecting transport and production processes, the lack of uniform performance indicators of transport and production system entities and the isolation of their technological processes create prerequisites for increasing the level of strategic planning. The task of increasing the level of strategic planning is solved by analyzing the parameters of the activity of structural enterprises of the transport and logistics system, provided that they are studied as a set of transport and production processes. Transport and production processes can be represented by economic and mathematical models, which predict the development of processes taking into account the impact of internal and external factors of the surrounding space. The paper presents a theoretical justification for the use of strategic planning mechanisms modeling in production enterprises of the transport and logistics system. The rationale for the use of transport and production processes modeling of structural enterprises of the transport and logistics system in the structure of tools and mechanisms is to display the vectors of purposefulness, on the basis of which a complex system of criteria for modeled processes is formed. A detailed version of modeling transport and production processes in the transport and logistics system is presented. The rationale for the use of multiple access and queuing theories in process modeling is presented. An economic and mathematical model of the transport and production process of structural enterprises of the transport and logistics system based on the theories of multiple access and queuing systems is proposed. This economic and mathematical model creates conditions for studying the properties of transport and production processes for the formation and implementation of transport services as the main products of the transport industry. The method of transport and production processes optimization indicators of the transport and logistics system is developed. This method allows you to determine the total best (optimal) options for the parameters of the implementing transport services process, which are determined and calculated based on the best (optimal) options for parameters included in the main process of sub processes. The economic and mathematical model and methodology are used by the production divisions of the joint stock federal freight company in the organization of complex transport services.