Forecasting the driver`s activity reliability with due account of emotional component
The article substantiates the importance of conducting preventive work with the least disaster-proof drivers in addition to traditional methods of analyzing road accidents (road accidents) to improve the overall level of road safety in the Russian Federation. The authors present a regression equation that includes the evaluation of the reliability of the driver's activity throughout his life (including road accidents), as well as the reliability conditionally defined as emotional reliability (estimated with regard to age, length of service, activity style and emotional experiences typical for the driver in the process of driving).