Dynamics of Situational and Long-term Risks of Regional Ethno-political Stability (Based on the Materials of the Krasnodar Territory and other Regions of Southern Russia)
The purpose of writing a research paper is to substantiate and test specific methods for diagnosing the ethnopolitical situation in a geopolitically significant region of the Russian Federation, taking into account the impact of the most complex foreign policy challenges and global turbulence. On the basis of the riskological paradigm and conflictological diagnostics, the factors causing the danger of escalation of regional tension in the subjects of the Southern Federal District are identified on the materials of the Krasnodar Territory. The research project analyzes the changing vectors of socio-political relations, the causes of regional conflict and their impact on the processes of constructing socio-political identities, with an emphasis on the specifics of interethnic and interfaith relations among young people. The conflictological diagnostics of a number of new factors causing risks of aggravation of ethnic contradictions and regional destabilization is carried out.