RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE OPERATION OF COMPLEX OBJECTS ON THE BASIS OF FUZZY-POSSIBILITY MODELS
The possibility of effective risk management in the operation of complex technical objects and technological processes based on the formalization of explicit and implicit expert knowledge by fuzzy-possibility models is shown. The availability of adequate models makes it possible to proactively predict the state of the objects under study and obtain qualitatively new information about their functioning under conditions of uncertainty. The study was conducted on two specific examples from the practice of operating potentially hazardous production facilities - the operation of a chimney of a metallurgical enterprise and the automation of the process of roasting sulfide concentrate in a fluidized bed unit. The conclusion is made about the high predictive ability of fuzzy-possibility models for potentially emergency objects that are difficult to formalize from a mathematical point of view.