SUBURBANIZATION OF BARNAUL CITY: A RETROSPECTIVE REVIEW AND DEVELOPMENT FORECAST
For the city of Barnaul, a study was carried out on the development of suburbanization -growth of a habitable suburban area with low-density building. Archival maps, up-to-date aerial photography, and materials of the master plan helped establish the periods of Barnaul suburbanization from the foundation of the city to the present time. Based on the research literature devoted to the current problems of suburbanization and selected scenarios of suburbanization according to the world urban planning experience, a forecast is made regarding further suburbanization of Barnaul over the next decade. It is assumed that in this large regional city with a compact planning structure, suburbanization will follow a hybrid “post-Soviet” scenario, in which low-intensity development of suburbanization will prceed along with “peripheral urbanization” partially replacing suburbanization through the construction of high-rise neighborhoods along the Zmeinogorsky and Pavlovsky tracts, mainly within the administrative boundaries of the city. An assumption is made about the limitations of the suburbanization processes in the city of Barnaul due to the exhaustion of migration and demographic resources compared to the situation in the 20th century.