WORLD ENERGY, FUEL RESOURCES OF THE PLANET AND GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE 21th CENTURY AND BEYOND
The paper outlines the global energy consumption forecast for the 21st and 22nd centuries developed at the National Research University Moscow Power Engineering Institute as part of the historical extrapolation approach to the energy development research. This forecast suggests demand plateau at the level of 28-30 billion tons of coal equivalent per year in the second half of the 21st century. It is shown that the prospective pattern of energy consumption is determined by the fossil fuel reserves available as well as various restrictions such as that imposed by the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement. The expected global changes in the atmosphere and climate are reviewed along with their effect on the Russian power industry