METHOD OF INTEGRATED ESTIMATION OF RISK OF EMERGENCY IN ACCIDENTS ON AN AUTONOMOUS UNDEFINED UNDERWATER APPARATUS
Problem of an estimation of risks of occurrence of failures on the independent uninhabited underwater device is considered. The systematization of accident sources has been carried out, the consequences caused by accident sources have been analyzed. A method has been developed for an integrated assessment of the risk of accidents. At the first stage of the method, the probability of emergence of an emergency source is calculated. At the second stage of the method, an estimation of the accident rate of each type of accident is given, at the third stage of the method an integral assessment of the risk of an emergency occurs. The proposed method will make it possible to forecast the development of an emergency situation with a risk assessment in the planning of a mission, and in case of a high risk - to review the conditions for the implementation of the planned mission.