TYPIZATION OF RISKS OF PERSPECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OF MEDICAL- GEOGRAPHICAL AREAS OF CRIMEA (2019-2025)
Based on modern concepts of the theory of risks and the practical application of the concept of risks described in [4, 5], we determined the risk categories of the prospective development of the medical and social regions of Crimea within the chronological boundaries of 2019-2025. We selected such a chronological section to clarify the results of the initial period of the socio-economic integration of Crimea into the Russian economic and sociocultural space and their further extrapolation with Russian economic reality.We understand the concept of “risk” as the ratio of the probability and danger of the manifestation of negative aspects of the development of medical and social areas in the context of the transformation of TMHS and the prevailing prerequisites for its development in previous periods.The need to take into account the territorial development risks of the Republic of Crimea is noted in the Strategy for its socio-economic development until 2030 [2,3], as well as in the Strategy for socio-economic development of the city of Sevastopol until 2030 [6]. Moreover, the medical and geographical risks in the mentioned documents are not allocated on their own, but are included in the block of socio-demographic risks [1, 7], which determined the need for a separate consideration of this category of hazards.9 districts and 4 medical and social areas were allocated. The most comfortable for living in Crimea are the southern coastal territories as part of the urban areas of Big Alushta and Yalta, as well as Sevastopol. The metropolitan area around the city of Simferopol is moderately comfortable. Whereas in the above-mentioned coastal territories comfort was noted in terms of the combination of natural and social parameters, in the metropolitan area only in social terms.