Priority directions for the development of the business sector in the context of ensuring national economic security in conditions of sanctions, trade wars and materialization of strategic threats
The article presents the results of substantiating the priority directions of business sector development in the context of ensuring national economic security. Among the most urgent threats to Russia's economic security in modern conditions are sanctions of foreign States, trade wars on the markets critical for the Russian foreign trade and balance of payments, as well as strategic threats of adverse transformations in the world economy. The relevance of the research topic is determined by the concentration of a number of important events in the world economy that determine the new dynamics in the development of competition between countries in the energy and commodity markets, as well as markets for finished goods and services. The dynamics of the development of the US oil industry and its impact on the world energy market are analyzed. The key threats to Russia's macroeconomic stability in the context of the growing crisis in commodity markets and the recession against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic have been identified. The share of oil and gas products in exports and the share of oil and gas revenues in the total revenues of the Federal budget of Russia is determined. The dynamics of Federal budget revenues in 2006-2019 is analyzed. The main characteristics of non-competitive struggle of foreign countries in the commodity markets are identified, as well as possible scenarios for squeezing Russia out of traditional markets. Defined priority of development of the business sector in solving the problems of the growth of the feedstock processing in the customs territory of Russia, the growth of high-tech industries and non-oil exports. Monetary and fiscal incentives for the development of business activities in the processing sectors of the economy are outlined. The corresponding cross-country comparisons are presented and priority tasks in the current planning horizon are identified