MATHEMATICAL MODEL AND PROGRAM COMPLEX TO DETERMINE STATISTICAL PARAMETERS OF PASSENGER FLOWS IN TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
PURPOSE. The paper presents a mathematical model of the passenger flow entering a transfer hub as well as a simulating model and a software complex implementing it. METHODS. The mathematical model is based on the author's approach, which uses the theory of BMAP-flows. The advantage of BMAP is the possibility of a single description of several incoming request flows (both correlated and independent) while maintaining their structure. RESULTS AND THEIR DISCUSSION. The characteristics of individual passenger flows have been determined and their general model has been built for the current transfer hub "Vladykino" in Moscow. An algorithm for BMAP flows generation has been proposed and a model experiment has been performed. The parameters of the BMAP flow have been determined considering the required correspondence of the simulated value of the total incoming passenger traffic and the volume of passengers in the Vladykino transfer hub in rush hours in 2025. CONCLUSIONS. The obtained results will find application in the general assessment of transfer hub operation efficiency, maximum permissible load and identification of "bottlenecks" in the structure of the passenger terminal.