There's a huge lag between demographic change and political change, he says. Turning a red state blue could [take] 20 years or more.. Texas Republicans have time, Sonenshein says, to figure out how to keep the Texas GOP from suffering the same disastrous fate as Republicans in California.1  Share.2  0Facebook.here's a huge lag between demographic change and political change, he says. Turning a red state blue could [take] 20 years or more.. Texas Republicans have time, Sonenshein says, to figure out how to keep the Texas GOP from suffering the same disastrous fate as Republicans in California. 1  Share.