hat
Yon leson se ke pandan ke prévoir eleksyon yo enteresan, plezi, e petèt edikasyon nan yon pèspektiv akademik., li pa ka ajoute anpil bagay pou nou pwatik demokratik. D' Nate, pou pi bon, ni fè ou pi mal, te devni figi sondage par "fè kous chwal jounalis" ki politik ak politik kontèks pwèske ignorés ak anpil moun tout bèl bagay ki pwoblèm yo. Sa natirèlman ironik, paske Ajan te itilize pou plenyen pou jounalis punditry Et fè kous chwal. Men, pandan li dènye vwayaj promotional nan peyi li te fè konsa tankou yon selebrite, pontificating sou kous chwal la. Pa diskite pa an ajan ont kesyon sou sijè tankou nan tan kap vini la a NHS, chwa yo pou recharge UK pwodwisite, ou la opportunité de endepandans Scottish ou yon posib referandòm l'.
eng
One lesson is that while predicting elections is interesting, fun, and perhaps educational from an academic perspective, it may not add much to our democratic practices. Nate Silver, for better or worse, has become the face of poll-driven “horse-race journalism” in which political and policy context is mostly ignored with the numbers pretty much all that matters. This is of course ironic, because Silver used to complain about punditry and horse-race journalism. Yet during his recent promotional tour of the United Kingdom he did so as a celebrity, pontificating on the horse race. Not discussed by Silver were questions about subjects such as the future of the NHS, options for recharging UK productivity, or the desirability of Scottish independence or a possible EU referendum.