The black curve is for the estimated range of possibilities for his true talent , and the black dot is for the most likely guess of his true talent .
The blue dot is for Luongo 's performance over the period in question .
The black curve is for the estimated range of possibilities for Luongo 's true talent , and the black dot is for the most likely guess of his true talent .
The blue dot is for Luongo 's performance over the period in question .