Will comet 21P that just passed Earth on Sept 10 produce Draconid storm on Oct 9? Comet 21P/Giaccobini-Zinner just made its closest pass to Earth and also made its Solar perihelion on the same day (Sept 10) which is roughly one month ahead of the annual Draconids meteor shower (Oct 9).  In both 1933 and 1946 these same circumstances also occurred and there were reportedly 1000s of meteors per hour in those years - meteor storms.

Question - I know the expert forecasts are not calling for more than 20 or so per hour based on some reference data about debris streams, but is there any chance that they may be wrong this year in their forecasts? Could the favorable circumstances this year plus a new debris stream result in a meteor storm surprise next week?
Earthsky discusses this.

There isn't a storm every perihelion, and predicting meteors is tricky, as we can't observe the meteoroids in space, we don't know if the Earth will pass through a dense patch or not.

Key quote "How many Draconid meteors will you be able to catch? No one expects a Draconid storm this year, but one can always hope!"