4 end points (a,b,c,d say) are chosen uniformly randomly and connected a to b and c to d by two geodesics on the 2-dim round sphere. Here uniformly is in the obvious sense of the volume form associated with the round metric. What is the probability the two curves cross?



Probability of random geodesics on the round sphere intersecting
The probability is 1/8. With each (generic) pair of geodesic segments you can associate another 15 pairs which you get by replacing each of the 4 end points by its antipodal point. You can easily check that of these 16 pairs, exactly 2 intersect. 


