6.95关口(原)(标)(题)(:大)(涨)(300基)(点)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(守)(住)(6.95关)(口)(北)(京)(商)(报)(讯)((记)(者)(崔)(启)(斌)(吴)(限)()人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(再)(度)(逼)(近)(“7”关)(口)(。10月)(26日)(,据)(中)(国)(外)(汇)(交)(易)(中)(心)(数)(据)(,人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(中)(间)(价)(报)(6.951元)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(1美)(元)(,较)(上)(一)(交)(易)(日)(下)(调)(101个)(基)(点)(,连)(续)(四)(个)(交)(易)(日)(下)(调)(,中)(间)(价)(水)(平)(创)(2017年)(1月)(5日)(以)(来)(新)(低)(。分)(析)(人)(士)(指)(出)(,受)(美)(元)(指)(数)(走)(强)(以)(及)(中)(国)(经)(济)(回)(落)(等)(多)(重)(因)(素)(影)(响)(,近)(期)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(出)(现)(贬)(值)(,不)(过)(目)(前)(看)(来)(突)(破)(7的)(可)(能)(性)(并)(不)(大)(。中)(间)(价)(的)(连)(续)(下)(行)(也)(让)(在)(岸)(、离)(岸)(市)(场)(双)(双)(受)(挫)(。10月)(26日)(开)(盘)(后)(,在)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(随)(即)(跌)(破)(6.95关)(口)(,一)(小)(时)(后)(进)(一)(步)(跌)(破)(6.96关)(口)(;离)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(盘)(中)(一)(度)(跌)(穿)(6.97重)(要)(关)(口)(,截)(至)(当)(日)(12:50报)(6.9769,较)(开)(盘)(下)(跌)(了)(195个)(基)(点)(,创)(2017年)(1月)(以)(来)(新)(低)(。不)(过)(,在)(10月)(26日)(上)(午)(召)(开)(的)(国)(务)(院)(政)(策)(例)(行)(吹)(风)(会)(上)(,央)(行)(副)(行)(长)(、国)(家)(外)(汇)(管)(理)(局)(局)(长)(潘)(功)(胜)(表)(示)(,近)(些)(年)(来)(,在)(应)(对)(汇)(率)(和)(外)(汇)(市)(场)(波)(动)(的)(过)(程)(中)(,央)(行)(、外)(汇)(局)(也)(积)(累)(了)(丰)(富)(的)(经)(验)(和)(政)(策)(工)(具)(,根)(据)(形)(势)(的)(变)(化)(采)(取)(必)(要)(的)(、有)(针)(对)(性)(的)(措)(施)(,对)(于)(那)(些)(试)(图)(做)(空)(人)(民)(币)(的)(势)(力)(,几)(年)(之)(前)(我)(们)(都)(交)(过)(手)(,彼)(此)(也)(非)(常)(熟)(悉)(,我)(想)(我)(们)(应)(该)(都)(记)(忆)(犹)(新)(。同)(时)(他)(总)(结)(道)(,“我)(们)(有)(基)(础)(、有)(能)(力)(、有)(信)(心)(保)(持)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(在)(合)(理)(均)(衡)(水)(平)(上)(的)(基)(本)(稳)(定)(。”在)(央)(行)(喊)(话)(稳)(定)(市)(场)(情)(绪)(后)(,人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(出)(现)(了)(逆)(转)(,在)(岸)(、离)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(双)(双)(反)(弹)(,收)(复)(重)(要)(关)(口)(。当)(日)(16时)(左)(右)(,在)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(短)(线)(拉)(升)(,一)(小)(时)(内)(先)(后)(收)(复)(6.95和)(6.94两)(道)(关)(口)(,较)(日)(内)(低)(点)(反)(弹)(近)(300个)(基)(点)(。当)(日)(在)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(官)(方)(收)(盘)(价)(报)(6.9478,较)(上)(一)(交)(易)(日)(上)(涨)(20个)(基)(点)(,结)(束)(之)(前)(的)(下)(跌)(走)(势)(。离)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(午)(后)(交)(易)(时)(段)(也)(迅)(速)(走)(高)(,临)(近)(16时)(已)(收)(复)(6.96关)(口)(,10月)(27日)(零)(点)(20分)(左)(右)(一)(度)(收)(复)(6.95关)(口)(,截)(至)(10月)(27日)(4:59,离)(岸)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(报)(6.9564。事)(实)(上)(,受)(中)(美)(贸)(易)(摩)(擦)(的)(持)(续)(拉)(锯)(影)(响)(,9月)(以)(来)(,人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(出)(现)(了)(一)(波)(快)(速)(下)(调)(,曾)(几)(次)(距)(离)(破)(“7”关)(口)(仅)(一)(步)(之)(遥)(。9月)(1日)(-30日)(人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(中)(间)(价)(由)(6.83左)(右)(贬)(值)(至)(6.87左)(右)(,贬)(值)(幅)(度)(约)(0.8%。进)(入)(10月)(,受)(美)(元)(指)(数)(持)(续)(走)(强)(的)(影)(响)(,人)(民)(币)(兑)(美)(元)(汇)(率)(又)(一)(路)(跌)(破)(6.95关)(口)(。中)(南)(财)(经)(政)(法)(大)(学)(金)(融)(协)(创)(中)(心)(研)(究)(员)(李)(虹)(含)(表)(示)(,近)(期)(人)(民)(币)(贬)(值)(是)(由)(内)(因)(和)(外)(因)(共)(同)(作)(用)(的)(结)(果)(,具)(体)(归)(纳)(为)(以)(下)(四)(方)(面)(:一)(是)(我)(国)(经)(济)(发)(展)(处)(于)(转)(型)(期)(,由)(高)(速)(发)(展)(阶)(段)(向)(高)(质)(量)(发)(展)(阶)(段)(转)(变)(,国)(内)(经)(济)(增)(速)(下)(降)(;二)(是)(央)(行)(近)(来)(的)(定)(向)(降)(准)(、债)(转)(股)(等)(政)(策)(释)(放)(流)(动)(性)(,市)(场)(上)(形)(成)(了)(货)(币)(政)(策)(放)(松)(预)(期)(;三)(是)(今)(年)(3月)(以)(来)(的)(中)(美)(贸)(易)(摩)(擦)(,使)(得)(央)(行)(具)(备)(了)(用)(人)(民)(币)(贬)(值)(来)(进)(行)(应)(对)(的)(动)(机)(;四)(是)(未)(来)(美)(联)(储)(仍)(有)(加)(息)(的)(空)(间)(,容)(易)(吸)(引)(更)(多)(的)(资)(本)(流)(入)(。对)(于)(央)(行)(的)(表)(态)(,在)(李)(虹)(看)(来)(,在)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(连)(续)(下)(跌)(之)(际)(,央)(行)(副)(行)(长)(的)(讲)(话)(极)(大)(地)(稳)(定)(了)(市)(场)(情)(绪)(和)(市)(场)(信)(心)(,给)(低)(迷)(的)(市)(场)(行)(情)(注)(入)(了)(一)(剂)(强)(心)(剂)(,对)(于)(遏)(制)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(下)(跌)(预)(期)(的)(持)(续)(发)(酵)(起)(到)(了)(积)(极)(作)(用)(。北)(京)(科)(技)(大)(学)(经)(济)(管)(理)(学)(院)(金)(融)(工)(程)(系)(主)(任)(刘)(澄)(也)(认)(为)(,央)(行)(的)(表)(态)(表)(明)(了)(央)(行)(维)(护)(汇)(率)(稳)(定)(的)(决)(心)(和)(基)(本)(立)(场)(,也)(向)(市)(场)(释)(放)(了)(央)(行)(全)(力)(保)(持)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(稳)(定)(的)(信)(号)(。同)(时)(也)(对)(恶)(意)(做)(空)(者)(提)(出)(严)(厉)(警)(告)(,如)(果)(肆)(意)(做)(空)(,最)(终)(损)(失)(的)(是)(自)(己)(。在)(分)(析)(人)(士)(看)(来)(,“7”是)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(的)(一)(个)(关)(键)(点)(位)(,在)(临)(近)(这)(个)(关)(键)(点)(位)(时)(,央)(行)(表)(态)(人)(民)(币)(仍)(然)(是)(比)(较)(稳)(定)(的)(货)(币)(,可)(以)(看)(出)(,央)(行)(对)(人)(民)(币)(破)(“7”十)(分)(重)(视)(。潘)(功)(胜)(在)(答)(记)(者)(问)(时)(表)(示)(,针)(对)(近)(期)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(变)(化)(,央)(行)(也)(积)(极)(采)(取)(了)(一)(些)(措)(施)(来)(稳)(定)(预)(期)(,比)(如)(不)(断)(地)(完)(善)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(市)(场)(化)(的)(机)(制)(,保)(持)(汇)(率)(的)(弹)(性)(;同)(时)(针)(对)(外)(汇)(市)(场)(顺)(周)(期)(的)(行)(为)(,已)(经)(并)(将)(继)(续)(积)(极)(采)(取)(宏)(观)(审)(慎)(政)(策)(等)(措)(施)(来)(稳)(定)(外)(汇)(市)(场)(预)(期)(。对)(于)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(会)(不)(会)(破)(“7”,李)(虹)(含)(指)(出)(,此)(次)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(的)(贬)(值)(属)(于)(市)(场)(调)(节)(下)(的)(短)(期)(波)(动)(,而)(并)(不)(是)(未)(来)(发)(展)(的)(长)(期)(趋)(势)(,目)(前)(看)(来)(突)(破)(“7”的)(可)(能)(性)(并)(不)(大)(。从)(宏)(观)(层)(面)(来)(看)(,目)(前)(我)(国)(经)(济)(基)(本)(面)(良)(好)(,金)(融)(风)(险)(总)(体)(可)(控)(;国)(际)(收)(支)(稳)(定)(,跨)(境)(资)(本)(流)(动)(大)(体)(平)(衡)(,外)(汇)(储)(备)(充)(足)(,因)(此)(,人)(民)(币)(贬)(值)(问)(题)(远)(没)(有)(达)(到)(恐)(慌)(的)(程)(度)(。