Although incidence and survival are frequent topics within the solid organ transplantation (SOT) literature, the size of the surviving SOT population is not well known. Existing studies of gout in patients with SOT have focused on the incident SOT population. This analysis was performed to characterize the prevalent SOT population and the prevalence of gout within it.
This study includes the 2017 United States (US) population size of recipients of kidney, heart, liver, and lung transplants that was estimated by combining primary transplant recipient cohort sizes (1988-2017) with previously published survival rates for each annual cohort's time since transplantation (0-29 years). Gout among prevalent patients with SOT was assessed using Medicare and commercial claims.
A total of 637,231 US patients received a primary kidney (393,953), liver (142,186), heart (66,637), or lung (34,455) transplant between 1988 and 2017. An estimated 356,000 (55.8%) recipients were alive in 2017 (233,000 kidney; 78,700 liver; 29,300 heart; 14,700 lung). Gout was identified in 11% of prevalent patients with SOT in 2016. Higher rates of gout were seen in recipients of kidney (13.1%) and heart (12.7%) compared to recipients of liver (6.7%) and lung (5.6%) (P < .0001 in both datasets). Active diagnosed gout prevalence in the US population without a SOT history was 1.1% in 2016.
Hundreds of thousands of US patients are living with a transplanted organ today and these numbers are likely to increase. In patients with SOT, gout is a frequent comorbidity of which physicians should be aware. This study suggests a markedly higher rate of gout among transplant recipients compared to the general US population.