10804649
Information markets vs. opinion pools: an empirical comparison
In this paper, we examine the relative forecast accuracy of information markets versus expert aggregation. We leverage a unique data source of almost 2000 people's subjective probability judgments on 2003 US National Football League games and compare with the "market probabilities" given by two different information markets on exactly the same events. We combine assessments of multiple experts via linear and logarithmic aggregation functions to form pooled predictions. Prices in information markets are used to derive market predictions. Our results show that, at the same time point ahead of the game, information markets provide as accurate predictions as pooled expert assessments. In screening pooled expert predictions, we find that arithmetic average is a robust and efficient pooling function; weighting expert assessments according to their past performance does not improve accuracy of pooled predictions; and logarithmic aggregation functions offer bolder predictions than linear aggregation functions. The results provide insights into the predictive performance of information markets, and the relative merits of selecting among various opinion pooling methods.
17686405
A time-series biclustering algorithm for revealing co-regulated genes
Although existing bicluster algorithms claimed to be able to discover co-regulated genes under a subset of given experiment conditions, they ignore the inherent sequential relationship between crucial time points and thus are not applicable to analyze time-series gene expression data. A simple and effective deletion-based algorithm, using the mean squared residue score as a measure, was developed to bicluster time-series gene expression data. While enforcing a threshold value for the score, the algorithm alternately eliminates genes and time points according to their correlation to the bicluster. To ensure the time locality, only the starting and ending points in the time interval are eligible for deletion. As a result, the number of genes and the length of time interval are simultaneously maximized. Our experimental results shown that the proposed method is capable of identifying co-regulated genes characterized by partial time-course data that previous methods failed to discover.
5795561
An in-depth analysis of information markets with aggregate uncertainty
The novel idea of setting up Internet-based virtual markets, information markets, to aggregate dispersed information and predict outcomes of uncertain future events has empirically found its way into many domains. But the theoretical examination of information markets has lagged relative to their implementation and use. This paper proposes a simple theoretical model of information markets to understand their information dynamics. We investigate and provide initial answers to a series of research questions that are important to understanding how information markets work, which are: (1) Does an information market converge to a consensus equilibrium? (2) If yes, how fast is the convergence process? (3) What is the best possible equilibrium of an information market? and (4) Is an information market guaranteed to converge to the best possible equilibrium?
5646511
KTR: an efficient key management scheme for air access control
To provide secure access to data in wireless broadcast services, symmetric key-based encryption is used to ensure that only users who own the valid keys can decrypt the data. In this paper, we propose an efficient key management scheme (namely KTR) to handle key distribution with regarding to complex subscription options and user activities. KTR has the following advantages. First, it supports all subscription activities in wireless broadcast services. Second, in KTR, a user only needs to hold one set of keys for all subscribed programs, instead of separate sets of keys for each program. Third, KTR identifies the minimum set of keys that must be changed to ensure broadcast security and minimize the rekey cost. Our simulations show that KTR can save about 45% of communication overhead in the broadcast channel and about 50% of decryption cost for each user, compared with conventional approaches based on logical key hierarchy.
41639900
An Evolutionary Fuzzy Multi-objective Approach to Cell Formation
Fuzzy mathematical programming (FMP) has been shown not only providing a better and more flexible way of representing the cell formation (CF) problem of cellular manufacturing, but also improving solution quality and computational efficiency. However, FMP cannot meet the demand of real-world applications because it can only be used to solve small-size problems. In this paper, we propose a heuristic genetic algorithm (HGA) as a viable solution for solving large-scale fuzzy multi-objective CF problems. Heuristic crossover and mutation operators are developed to improve computational efficiency. Our results show that the HGA outperforms the FMP and goal programming (GP) models in terms of clustering results, computational time, and user friendliness.
27561759
Splice site prediction using support vector machines with a Bayes kernel
One of the most important tasks in correctly annotating genes in higher organisms is to accurately locate the DNA splice sites. Although relatively high accuracy has been achieved by existing methods, most of these prediction methods are computationally extensive. Due to the enormous amount of DNA sequences to be processed, the computational speed is an important issue to consider. In this paper, we present a new machine learning method for predicting DNA splice sites, which first applies a Bayes feature mapping (kernel) to project the data into a new feature space and then uses a linear Support Vector Machine (SVM) as a classifier to recognize the true splice sites. The computation time is linear to the number of sequences tested, while the performance is notably improved compared with the Naive Bayes classifier in terms of classification accuracy, precision, and recall. Our classification results are also comparable to the solution quality obtained by the SVMs with polynomial kernels, while the speed of our proposed method is significantly faster. This is a notable improvement in computational modeling considering the huge amount of DNA sequences to be processed.
1870307
Accurate and eff icient flow based congestion estimation in floorplanning
Congestion has been a topic of great importance in the floorplanning of deep-submicron 0 design. In this paper, we design an accurate and efficient congestion estimation model by performing global routing. We interpret the global routing problem as a flow problem of several commodities and relax the integral flow constraints. The objective of resulting fractional flow problem is to minimize the maximum congestion over all edges in the inner dual graph [13]. The underlying routing graph for each commodity is derived by assigning directions to the inner dual graph edges. We design an efficient two-phase algorithm to solve this fractional flow problem. The first phase is denoted as Incoming Flow Balancing (IFB) by which a good initial solution is derived. The second phase is called Stepwise Flow Refinement (SFR) by which the maximum congestion of the solution in first phase is iteratively reduced to its optimal value. In addition, a valid global routing solution can be obtained by applying a simple rounding procedure on the fractional flow solution. The maximum congestion after rounding is only increased by 2.82% on average according to our experimental results, which justifies the use of fractional flow to estimate the routing congestion. Finally, we demonstrate our model by integrating it into a simulated annealing (SA) based floorplanner, where we use the maximum congestion as part of the cost of SA. The experimental results show that, on average, our congestion-driven floorplanner can generate a much less congested floorplan (-36.44%) with a slight sacrifice in area (+1.30%) and wirelength (+2.64%). The runtime of the whole SA process is only increased moderately (+270%).
15834423
A quadratic programming approach to simultaneous buffer insertion/sizing and wire sizing
In this paper, we present a completely new approach to the problem of delay minimization by simultaneous buffer insertion and wire sizing for a wire. We show that the problem can be formulated as a convex quadratic program, which is known to be solvable in polynomial time. Nevertheless, we explore some special properties of our problem and derive an optimal and very efficient algorithm, modified active set method (MASM), to solve the resulting program. Given m buffers and a set of m discrete choices of wire width, the running time of our algorithm is O(mn/sup 2/) and is independent of the wire length in practice. For example, an instance of 100 buffers and 100 choices of wire width can be solved in 0.92 s. In addition, we extend MASM to consider simultaneous buffer insertion, buffer sizing, and wire sizing. The resulting algorithm MASM-BS is again optimal and very efficient. For example, with six choices of buffer size and 10 choices of wire width, the optimal solution for a 15000 /spl mu/m long wire can be found in 0.05 s. Besides, our formulation is so versatile that it is easy to consider other objectives like wire area or power dissipation, or to add constraints to the solution. Also, wire capacitance lookup tables, or very general wire capacitance models which can capture area capacitance, fringing capacitance, coupling capacitance, etc. can be used.
13064248
Path-based multicast communication in wormhole-routed star graph multicomputers
In this paper, we propose four efficient multicast routing schemes in wormhole-routed star networks with multidestination routing capability. All of the four proposed schemes are path-based and deadlock-free. The first scheme, dual-path routing, sends the message in parallel through two independent paths. The second one, shortcut-node-based datapath routing, is similar to dual-path routing except that the routing tries to find a shortcut node to route the message as soon as possible to reduce the length of transmission path. The third one, multipath routing, is a multiple dual-path routing strategy that includes source-to-relay and relay-to-destination phases. The last scheme, proximity grouping routing, is similar to multipath routing except that in the partitioning step of source and destination nodes the relation of spatial locality of nodes is also taken into account to reduce the length of transmission paths. Finally, the experimental results are given to show that the performance based on unicast-based and traditional Hamiltonian-path routing schemes can be improved significantly by the four proposed routing schemes respectively.
8131087
Multipath-Based Multicasting Strategies for Wormhole-Routed Star Graph Interconnection Networks
The star graph interconnection network has been recognized as an attractive alternative to the popular hypercube network. In this paper, we present a multipath-based multicast routing model for wormholerouted star graph networks, propose two efficient multipath routing schemes, and contrast the performance of the proposed schemes with the performance of the scheme presented in our previous work. Both of the two proposed schemes have been proven to be deadlock-free. The first scheme, simplemultipath routing, uses multiple independent paths for concurrent multicasting. The second scheme, two-phase multipath routing, includes two phases: source-to-relay and relay-to-destination. For each phase, multicasting is carried out using simple multipath routing. Experimental results show that, for short and medium messages with small message startup latencies, the proposed schemes reduce multicast latency more efficiently than other schemes.
41348498
Fast and exact simultaneous gate and wire sizing by Lagrangian relaxation