1058249
Distributed Feedback Control for Decision Making on Supply Chains
Decision makers on supply chains face an uncertain, dynamic, and strategic multiagent environment. We report on Deep Maize, an agent we designed to participate in the 2003 Trading Agent Competition Supply Chain Management (TAC/SCM) game. Our design employs an idealized equilibrium analysis of the SCM game to factor out the strategic aspects of the environment and to define an expected profitable zone of operation. Deep Maize applies distributed feedback control to coordinate its separate functional modules and maintain its environment in the desired zone, despite the uncertainty and dynamism. We evaluate our design with results from the TAC/SCM tournament as well as from controlled experiments conducted after the competition.
7241207
Intrinsically Motivated Reinforcement Learning
Psychologists call behavior intrinsically motivated when it is engaged in for its own sake rather than as a step toward solving a specific problem of clear practical value. But what we learn during intrinsically motivated behavior is essential for our development as competent autonomous entities able to efficiently solve a wide range of practical problems as they arise. In this paper we present initial results from a computational study of intrinsically motivated reinforcement learning aimed at allowing artificial agents to construct and extend hierarchies of reusable skills that are needed for competent autonomy.
5053575
Bias-Variance Error Bounds for Temporal Difference Updates
Temporal difference (td) algorithms are used in reinforcement learning to compute estimates of the value of a given policy in an unknown Markov decision process (policy evaluation). We give rigorous upper bounds on the error of the closely related phased td algorithms (which differ from the standard updates in their treatment of the learning rate) as a function of the amount of experience. These upper bounds prove exponentially fast convergence, with both the rate of convergence and the asymptote strongly dependent on the length of the backups k or the parameter . Our bounds give formal verification to the well-known intuition that td methods are subject to a bias-variance tradeoff, and they lead to schedules for k and that are predicted to be better than any fixed values for these parameters. We give preliminary experimental confirmation of our theory for a version of the random walk problem.
2695116
Near-Optimal Reinforcement Learning in Polynomial Time
We present new algorithms for reinforcement learning and prove that they have polynomial bounds on the resources required to achieve near-optimal return in general Markov decision processes. After observing that the number of actions required to approach the optimal return is lower bounded by the mixing time T of the optimal policy (in the undiscounted case) or by the horizon time T (in the discounted case), we then give algorithms requiring a number of actions and total computation time that are only polynomial in T and the number of states and actions, for both the undiscounted and discounted cases. An interesting aspect of our algorithms is their explicit handling of the Exploration-Exploitation trade-off.
2661414
Graphical Models for Game Theory
We introduce a compact graph-theoretic representation for multi-party game theory. Our main result is a provably correct and efficient algorithm for computing approximate Nash equilibria in one-stage games represented by trees or sparse graphs.
2624439
Learning Predictive State Representations
We introduce the first algorithm for learning predictive state representations (PSRs), which are a way of representing the state of a controlled dynamical system. The state representation in a PSR is a vector of predictions of tests, where tests are sequences of actions and observations said to be true if and only if all the observations occur given that all the actions are taken. The problem of finding a good PSR. one that is a sufficient statistic for the dynamical system--can be divided into two parts: 1) discovery of a good set of tests, and 2) learning to make accurate predictions for those tests. In this paper, we present detailed empirical results using a gradient-based algorithm for addressing the second problem. Our results demonstrate several sample systems in which the algorithm learns to make correct predictions and several situations in which the algorithm is less successful. Our analysis reveals challenges that will need to be addressed in future PSR learning algorithms.
18021791
Energy Consumption of TCP in Ad Hoc Networks
In this paper we study the energy cost (protocol processing and communication cost) and goodput of different flavors of TCP (Transmission Control Protocol) in ad hoc networks. We implemented a testbed and measured the actual energy cost as well as goodput of running TCP Reno, Newreno, SACK (Selective ACKnowledgement) and a version that combines Explicit Link Failure Notification (ELFN) [7] and Explicit Congestion Notification (ECN) [5] in Newreno. We see that the use of ECN & ELFN does yield higher goodput in most cases with a corresponding lower total energy cost. We see an energy savings of between 20% and 500% depending on the network conditions.
1919208
Texture Analysis Experiments with Meastex and Vistex Benchmarks
The analysis of texture in images is an important area of study. Image benchmarks such as Meastex and Vistex have been developed for researchers to compare their experiments on these texture benchmarks. In this paper we compare five different texture analysis methods on these benchmarks in terms of their recognition ability. Since these benchmarks are limited in terms of their content, we have divided each image into n images and performed our analysis on a larger data set. In this paper we investigate how well the following texture extraction methods perform: autocorrelation, co-occurrence matrices, edge frequency, Law's, and primitive length. We aim to determine if some of these methods outperform others by a significant margin and whether by combining them into a single feature set will have a significant impact on the overall recognition performance. For our analysis we have used the linear and nearest neighbour classifiers.
2178559
Efficient join processing over uncertain data
In many applications data values are inherently uncertain. This includes moving-objects, sensors and biological databases. There has been recent interest in the development of database management systems that can handle uncertain data. Some proposals for such systems include attribute values that are uncertain. In particular, an attribute value can be modeled as a range of possible values, associated with a probability density function. Previous efforts for this type of data have only addressed simple queries such as range and nearest-neighbor queries. Queries that join multiple relations have not been addressed in earlier work despite the significance of joins in databases. In this paper we address join queries over uncertain data. We propose a semantics for the join operation, define probabilistic operators over uncertain data, and propose join algorithms that provide efficient execution of probabilistic joins. The paper focuses on an important class of joins termed probabilistic threshold joins that avoid some of the semantic complexities of dealing with uncertain data. For this class of joins we develop three sets of optimization techniques: item-level, page-level, and index-level pruning. These techniques facilitate pruning with little space and time overhead, and are easily adapted to most join algorithms. We verify the performance of these techniques experimentally.
1844435
Neural network analysis of MINERVA scene analysis benchmark
Scene analysis is an important area of research with the aim of identifying objects and their relationships in natural scenes. The MINERVA benchmark has recently been introduced in this area for testing different image processing and classification schemes. We present results on the classification of eight natural objects in the complete set of 448 natural images using neural networks. An exhaustive set of experiments with this benchmark has been conducted using four different segmentation methods and five texture-based feature extraction methods. The results in this paper show the performance of a neural network classifier on a ten fold cross-validation task. On the basis of the results produced, we are able to rank how well different image segmentation algorithms are suited to the task of region of interest identification in these images, and we also see how well texture extraction algorithms rank on the basis of classification results.
1603562
Probabilistic Strategies for Pursuit in Cluttered Environments with Multiple Robots
In this paper, we describe a method for coordinating multiple robots in a pursuit-evasion domain. We examine the problem of multiple robotic pursuers attempting to locate a non-adversarial mobile evader in an indoor environment. Unlike many other approaches to this problem, our method seeks to minimize expected time of capture rather than guaranteeing capture. This allows us to examine the performance of our algorithm in complex and cluttered environments where guaranteed capture is difficult or impossible with limited pursuers. We present a probabilistic formulation of the problem, discretize the environment, and define cost heuristics for use in planning. We then propose a scalable algorithm using an entropy cost heuristic that searches possible movement paths to determine coordination strategies for the robotic pursuers. We present simulated results describing the performance of our algorithm against state of the art alternatives in a complex office environment. Our algorithm successfully reduces capture time with limited pursuers in an environment beyond the scope of many other approaches.