6894032
Reasoning about knowledge and probability
We provide a model for reasoning about knowledge and probability together. We allow explicit mention of probabilities in formulas, so that our language has formulas that essentially say "according to agent i, formula φ holds with probability at least α." The language is powerful enough to allow reasoning about higher-order probabilities, as well as allowing explicit comparisons of the probabilities an agent places on distinct events. We present a general framework for interpreting such formulas, and consider various properties that might hold of the interrelationship between agents' subjective probability spaces at different states. We provide a complete axiomatization for reasoning about knowledge and probability, prove a small model property, and obtain decision procedures. We then consider the effects of adding common knowledge and a probabilistic variant of common knowledge to the language.
47316226
Equations Between Regular Terms and an Application to Process Logic
Regular terms with the Kleene operations $ \cup $, ; and $ * $ can be thought of as operators on languages, generating other languages. An equation $\tau _1 = \tau _2 $ between two such terms is said to be satisfiable just in case languages exist which make this equation true. We show that the satisfiability problem even for $ * $-free regular terms is undecidable. Similar techniques are used to show that a very natural extension of the Process Logic of Harel, Kozen and Parikh is undecidable.
15233558
A new look at fault tolerant network routing
Consider a communication network G in which a limited number of link and/or node faults F might occur. A routing &rgr; for the network (a fixed path between each pair of nodes) must be chosen without any knowledge of which components might become faulty. Choosing a good routing corresponds to bounding the diameter of the surviving route graph R(G,&rgr;)/F, where two nonfaulty nodes are joined by an edge if there are no faults on the route between them. We prove a number of results concerning the diameter of surviving route graphs. We show that if &rgr; is a minimal length routing, then the diameter of R(G,&rgr;)/F can be on the order of the number of nodes of G, even if F consists of only a single node. However, if G is the n-dimensional cube, the diameter of R(G,&rgr;)/F≤3 for any minimal length routing &rgr; and any set of faults F with |F|<n. We also show that if F consists only of edges and does not disconnect G, then the diameter of R(G,&rgr;)/F is ≤ 3|F|+1, while if F consists only of nodes and does not disconnect G, then the diameter of R(G,&rgr;)/F is ≤ the sum of the degrees of the nodes in F, where in both cases &rgr; is an arbitrary minimal length routing. We conclude with one of the most important contributions of this paper: a list of interesting and apparently difficult open problems.
215949262
Knowledge, probability, and adversaries
What should it mean for an agent to know or believe an assertion is true with probability 9.99? Different papers [2, 6, 15] give different answers, choosing to use quite different probability space...
152014
Causality, Responsibility, and Blame: A Structural-Model Approach
This talk provides an overview of work that I have done with Hana Chockler, Orna Kupferman, and Judea Pearl (H. Chockler and J. Y. Halpern, 2004), (H. Chockler, et al., 2003), (J. Y. Halpern and J. Pearl, 2005), on defining notions such as causality, explanation, responsibility, and blame. I first review the Halpern-Pearl definition of causality, what it means that A is a cause of B, and show how it handles well some standard problems of causality. This definition of causality (like most in the literature) views causality as an all-or-nothing concept. Either A is a cause of B or it is not. I show how it can be extended to take into account the degree of responsibility of A for B. For example, if someone wins an election 11-0, each person is less responsible for his victory than if he had won 6-5. Finally, I show how this notion of degree of responsibility can be used to provide insight into model checking notions such as coverage
14995360
A model-theoretic analysis of knowledge
A general semantic model of knowledge is introduced, to allow reasoning about statements such as «He knows that I know whether or not she knows whether or not it is raining». This approach more naturally models a state of knowledge than previous proposals (including Kripke structures). Using this notion of model, a model theory for knowledge is developed. This theory enables one to interpret the notion of a «finite amount of information»
16360228
Least expected cost query optimization: an exercise in utility
We identify two unreasonable, though standard, assumptions made by database query optimizers that can adversely affect the quality of the chosen evaluation plans. One assumption is that it is enough to optimize for the expected case---that is, the case where various parameters (like available memory) take on their expected value. The other assumption is that the parameters are constant throughout the execution of the query. We present an algorithm based on the ``System R''-style query optimization algorithm that does not rely on these assumptions. The algorithm we present chooses the plan of the least expected cost instead of the plan of least cost given some fixed value of the parameters. In execution environments that exhibit a high degree of variability, our techniques should result in better performance.
7572747
Set-theoretic completeness for epistemic and conditional logic
The standard approach to logic in the literature in philosophy and mathematics, which has also been adopted in computer science, is to define a language (the syntax), an appropriate class of models together with an interpretation of formulas in the language (the semantics), a collection of axioms and rules of inference characterizing reasoning (the proof theory), and then relate the proof theory to the semantics via soundness and completeness results. Here we consider an approach that is more common in the economics literature, which works purely at the semantic, set-theoretic level. We provide set-theoretic completeness results for a number of epistemic and conditional logics, and contrast the expressive power of the syntactic and set-theoretic approaches.
3055934
A knowledge-theoretic analysis of uniform distributed coordination and failure detectors
Abstract.It is shown that, in a precise sense, if there is no bound on the number of faulty processes in a system with unreliable but fair communication, Uniform Distributed Coordination (UDC) can be attained if and only if a system has perfect failure detectors. This result is generalized to the case where there is a bound t on the number of faulty processes. It is shown that a certain type of generalized failure detector is necessary and sufficient for achieving UDC in a context with at most t faulty processes. Reasoning about processes’ knowledge as to which other processes are faulty plays a key role in the analysis.
8145017
Characterizing the Common Prior Assumption
Abstract Logical characterizations of the common prior assumption (CPA) are investigated. Two approaches are considered. The first is called frame distinguishability , and is similar in spirit to the approaches considered in the economics literature. Results similar to those obtained in the economics literature are proved here as well, namely, that we can distinguish finite spaces that satisfy the CPA from those that do not in terms of disagreements in expectation. However, it is shown that, for the language used here, no formulas can distinguish infinite spaces satisfying the CPA from those that do not. The second approach considered is that of finding a sound and complete axiomatization. Such an axiomatization is provided; again, the key axiom involves disagreements in expectation. The same axiom system is shown to be sound and complete both in the finite and the infinite case. Thus, the two approaches to characterizing the CPA behave quite differently in the case of infinite spaces. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: C70, D80.
23268703
A knowledge-theoretic analysis of uniform distributed coordination and failure detectors
It is shown that, in a precise sense, if there is no bound on the number of faulty processes in a system with unreliable but fair communication, Uniform Distributed Coordination (UDC) can be attained if and only if a system has perfect failure detectors. This result is generalized to the case where there is a bound t on the number of faulty processes. It is shown that a certain type of generalized failure detector is necessary and sufficient for achieving UDC in a context with at most t faulty processes. Reasoning about processes’ knowledge as to which other processes are faulty plays a key role in the analysis.