1880699
A distance measure for bounding probabilistic belief change
We propose a distance measure between two probability distributions, which allows one to bound the amount of belief change that occurs when moving from one distribution to another. We contrast the proposed measure with some well known measures, including KL-divergence, showing how they fail to be the basis for bounding belief change as is done using the proposed measure. We then present two practical applications of the proposed distance measure: sensitivity analysis in belief networks and probabilistic belief revision. We show how the distance measure can be easily computed in these applications, and then use it to bound global belief changes that result from either the perturbation of local conditional beliefs or the accommodation of soft evidence. Finally, we show that two well known techniques in sensitivity analysis and belief revision correspond to the minimization of our proposed distance measure and, hence, can be shown to be optimal from that viewpoint.
5672538
When do Numbers Really Matter?
Common wisdom has it that small distinctions in the probabilities quantifying a belief network do not matter much for the results of probabilistic queries. Yet, one can develop realistic scenarios under which small variations in network probabilities can lead to significant changes in computed queries. A pending theoretical question is then to analytically characterize parameter changes that do or do not matter. In this paper, we study the sensitivity of probabilistic queries to changes in network parameters and prove some tight bounds on the impact that such parameters can have on queries. Our analytical results pinpoint some interesting situations under which parameter changes do or do not matter. These results are important for knowledge engineers as they help them identify influential network parameters. They also help explain some of the previous experimental results and observations with regards to network robustness against parameter changes.
10310314
Sensitivity Analysis in Markov Networks
This paper explores the topic of sensitivity analysis in Markov networks, by tackling questions similar to those arising in the context of Bayesian networks: the tuning of parameters to satisfy query constraints, and the bounding of query changes when perturbing network parameters. Even though the distribution induced by a Markov network corresponds to ratios of multi-linear functions, whereas the distribution induced by a Bayesian network corresponds to multi-linear functions, the results we obtain for Markov networks are as effective computationally as those obtained for Bayesian networks. This similarity is due to the fact that conditional probabilities have the same functional form in both Bayesian and Markov networks, which turns out to be the more influential factor. The major difference we found, however, is in how changes in parameter values should be quantified, as such parameters are interpreted differently in Bayesian networks and Markov networks.
17538498
Reasoning about Bayesian Network Classifiers
Bayesian network classifiers are used in many fields, and one common class of classifiers are naive Bayes classifiers. In this paper, we introduce an approach for reasoning about Bayesian network classifiers in which we explicitly convert them into Ordered Decision Diagrams (ODDS), which are then used to reason about the properties of these classifiers. Specifically, we present an algorithm for converting any naive Bayes classifier into an ODD, and we show theoretically and experimentally that this algorithm can give us an ODD that is tractable in size cvcn given an intractable number of instances. Since ODDS are tractable representations of classifiers, our algorithm allows us to efficiently test the equivalence of two naive Bayes classifiers and characterize discrepancies between them. We also show a number of additional results including a count of distinct classifiers that can be induced by changing some CPT in a naive Bayes classifier, and the range of allowable changes to a CPT which keeps the current classifier unchanged.
4540744
Random key predistribution schemes for sensor networks
Key establishment in sensor networks is a challenging problem because asymmetric key cryptosystems are unsuitable for use in resource constrained sensor nodes, and also because the nodes could be physically compromised by an adversary. We present three new mechanisms for key establishment using the framework of pre-distributing a random set of keys to each node. First, in the q-composite keys scheme, we trade off the unlikeliness of a large-scale network attack in order to significantly strengthen random key predistribution's strength against smaller-scale attacks. Second, in the multipath-reinforcement scheme, we show how to strengthen the security between any two nodes by leveraging the security of other links. Finally, we present the random-pairwise keys scheme, which perfectly preserves the secrecy of the rest of the network when any node is captured, and also enables node-to-node authentication and quorum-based revocation.
987821
Using Clustering Information for Sensor Network Localization
Sensor network localization continues to be an important research challenge. The goal of localization is to assign geographic coordinates to each node in the sensor network. Localization schemes for sensor network systems should work with inexpensive off-the-shelf hardware, scale to large networks, and also achieve good accuracy in the presence of irregularities and obstacles in the deployment area. 
 
We present a novel approach for localization that can satisfy all of these desired properties. Recent developments in sensor network clustering algorithms have resulted in distributed algorithms that produce highly regular clusters. We propose to make use of this regularity to inform our localization algorithm. The main advantages of our approach are that our protocol requires only three randomly-placed nodes that know their geographic coordinates, and does not require any ranging or positioning equipment (i.e., no signal strength measurement, ultrasound ranging, or directional antennas are needed). So far, only the DV-Hop localization mechanism worked with the same assumptions [1]. We show that our proposed approach may outperform DV-Hop in certain scenarios, in particular when there exist large obstacles in the deployment field, or when the deployment area is free of obstacles but the number of anchors is limited.
2565301
Visualizing input and output analysis for simulation (VINOAS)
Abstract Input analysis which involves a large amount of statistical analysis is one of the major steps in simulation. A software package with a well-designed user-friendly graphical window interface has been developed to assist modelers in identifying the underlying statistical distribution of the input data. It integrates techniques for assessing sample independence, hypothesizing families of distributions, estimation of parameters, and performing goodness-of-fit tests in a graphical environment. This allows the modelers to use the package in an interactive way and efforts can be saved in specifying the input probability distribution.
6130133
Security and Privacy in Sensor Networks
Sensor networks offer economically viable solutions for a variety of applications. For example, current implementations monitor factory instrumentation, pollution levels, freeway traffic, and the structural integrity of buildings. Other applications include climate sensing and control in office buildings and home environmental sensing systems for temperature, light, moisture, and motion. Sensor networks are key to the creation of smart spaces, which embed information technology in everyday home and work environments. The miniature wireless sensor nodes, or motes, developed from low-cost off-the-shelf components at the University of California, Berkeley, as part of its smart dust projects, establish a self-organizing sensor network when dispersed into an environment. The privacy and security issues posed by sensor networks represent a rich field of research problems. Improving network hardware and software may address many of the issues, but others will require new supporting technologies.
34280688
Mammography Tomosynthesis System for High Performance 3D Imaging
Tomosynthesis provides a major advance in image quality compared to conventional projection mammography by effectively eliminating the effects of superimposed tissue on anatomical structures of interest. Early tomosynthesis systems focused primarily on feasibility assessment by providing 3-dimensional images to determine performance advantages. However, tomosynthesis image quality depends strongly on three key parameters: 1) detector performance at low dose, 2) angular range and number of projections acquired in the tomosynthesis scan, and 3) reconstruction algorithm processing characteristics used to create slice images from the measured projections. In this work, a new GE mammo-graphy tomosynthesis research system was developed that incorporates key improvements in each of these three areas compared to an early feasibility prototype system in use at Massachusetts General Hospital from 2000 to 2004. The performance gains that can be achieved by these enhancements are cha-racterized, and clinical images acquired with the system at the University of Michigan Cancer and Geriatrics Center are presented. The advanced research system also provides the ability to acquire mechanically co-registered x-ray tomosynthesis and ultrasound images of the breast, and initial dual modality images are also presented.