url: =APPLICATION OF NATURAL FRACTAL IN LOAD FORECASTING--《Power System Technology》2004年24期\n《Power System Technology》 2004-24\nAPPLICATION OF NATURAL FRACTAL IN LOAD FORECASTING\nJIANG Zheng-wei (Zhejiang Electric Power Dispatching & Communication Center, Hangzhou 310007, Zhejiang Province, China)\nTraditional load forecasting methods can only describe the macroscopic behavior of original source data series such as the data series of long-term trend, seasonal trend and periodic trend, but it is difficult to build the model of rough data representing the microscopic behavior. Separating the original source data series into the smooth part and rough part respectively and on the basis of building the model for the smooth part by traditional methods, for instance the GM(1,1), the author builds the model for the rough part by natural fractal method to improve the accuracy of load forecasting. The calculation results of actual examples show that the built models can fit with the source data series well and possesses good forecasting performance.\n1 CHENG Bao-qing,HAN Feng-qin,GUI Zhong-hua (College of Electric Power,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong Province,China);APPLICATION OF WAVELET TRANSFORM BASED GREY THEORY TO FAULT FORECASTING OF HYDROELECTRIC GENERATING SETS[J];Power System Technology;2005-13\n2 XUE Wan-lei,YU Ji-lai (Department of Electrical Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,Heilongjiang Province,China);Application of Fractal Extrapolation Algorithm in Load Forecasting[J];Power System Technology;2006-13\n2 SHI De\_|ming, LI Lin\_|chuan, SONG Jian\_|wen (Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China);POWER SYSTEM LOAD FORECASTING BASED UPON COMBINATION OF GREY FORECAST AND ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK[J];Power System Technology;2001-12\n4 ZHANG Fu-sheng1, LIU Fang1, ZHAO Wen-bin1, SUN Zi-an2, JIANG Guang-ying2 (1. School of Electrical Engineering, Xian Jiaotong University, Xian 710049, Shaanxi Province, China; 2. Xian HV Power Supply Bureau, Xian 710032, Shaanxi Province, China);APPLICATION OF GREY VERHULST MODEL IN MIDDLE AND LONG TERM LOAD FORECASTING[J];Power System Technology;2003-05\n5 LI Wei, HAN Li (College of Electrical Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China);Application of Combination Grey Model in Power Load Forecasting[J];Journal of Chongqing University(Natural Science Edition);2004-01\n6 KANG Zhuo1, HUANG Jing-Wei2, LI Yan1, KANG Li-Shan3+ 1(Computation Center, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China) 2(School of Computer Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China) 3(State Key Laboratory of Software Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China) + Corresponding author: E-mail: kang@whu.edu.cn;A Multi-Scale Mixed Algorithm for Data Mining of Complex System[J];Journal of Software;2003-07\n7 XING Mian(North China Electric Power University, Hebei Baoding 071003);Research on Combined Grey Neural Network Model of Seasonal Forecast[J];Systems Engineering-theory & Practice;2001-01\n8 NIU Dong xiao, CHEN Zhi ye, XING Mian, XIE Hong (Dept. of Electric Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University,Baoding 071003,China);COMBINED OPTIMUM GRAY NEURAL NETWORK MODEL OF THE SEASONAL POWER LOAD FORECASTING WITH THE DOUBLE TRENDS[J];Proceedings of the Csee;2002-01\n9 Zhao Hongwei (Chongqing University,Chongqing\_ 630044\_ China) Ren Zhen, Huang Wenying (South China Univ.of Technology Guangzhou\_ 510641\_ China);A Short Term Load Forecasting Method Based on PAR Model[J];CHINESE SOCIETY FOR ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING;1997-05\n10 ZHANG Zhi-sheng1,SUN Ya-ming1,HE Yun-peng2(1.Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China;2.Tianjin Electric Power Bureau,Tianjin 300010,China);A new approach of STLF based on combination of phase space reconstruction theory and optimal recursive neural networks[J];Electric Power;2004-01\n1 HU Ping 1,BAI Jun 2,LAN Hua 3,GUO Pei yeng 3,WANG Peng 3(1.Department of Information Control, Harbin Institute of Technology(Weihai),Weihai City 264200;2.Department o Computer Since, Harbin Institute of Technology(Weihai),Weihai City 264200;3.Department of Electric Power Engineering,Northeast Institute of electric Power Engineering,Jilin City 132012);Analysis of the Power Load's Character Based on Fractal Theory[J];Journal of Northeast China Institute of Electric Power Engineering;2002-04\n2 LIN Wen_ting,ZHANG Ke_wei(Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wu Han 430074,China);Wavelet Transform and Its Application in Processing of Pressure Pulsation Signals[J];Large Electric Machine and Hydraulic Turbine;2002-06\n3 Gui Zhonghua, Han Fengqin (South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China);WAVELET PACKET-MAXIMUM ENTROPY SPECTRUM ESTIMATION AND ITS APPLICATION IN TURBINE'S FAULT DIAGNOSIS[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2004-02\n4 WANG Wei-guo, DAI Wei, WAN Lei, YANG Li, CHE Fang-yi, HU Xiang (Hubei Electric Power Dispatching Center, Wuhan 430077, China);Discussion on Data Sharing Mode in Electric Power Network Dispatching Automation System[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2005-04\n5 ZHAO Jia-qing, JIANG Xue-bao, ZHOU Jin, LI Chun (Suzhou Power Supply Company, Suzhou 215004, China);Design and Realization of On-line Simulation and Test Equipment for Power Network SCADA System[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2005-04\n6 Tang Lichun Li Guangxi Xiong Manli (Wuhan University of Hydraulic & Electric Engineering,Wuhan,China,430072);POWER SYSTEM LOAD FORECASTING BASED ON THE FRACTAL[J];PROCEEDINGS OF THE CSU-EPSA;1999-04\n7 Qu Wentai Zhu Jing (College of electrical engineering,Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310027);A LOW BIT FRACTAL COMPRESSION AND CODING IN IMAGE SURVEILLANCE SYSTEM OF SUBSTATIONS[J];Proceedings of The Csu-epsa;2003-02\n8 LI Tian\_|yun, JIN Sheng, LI Shan\_|ying (Northeast Institute of Electric Power Engineering, Jilin 132012, Jilin Province, China);A NOVEL LOAD FORECASTING METHOD BASED ON RADAR COORDINATION AND DILATATION COEFFICIENT[J];Power System Technology;2002-01\n10 CAO Guo-jian, HUANG Chun, LONG Hui, HE Wen-dou (School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, Hunan Province, China; Ningxiang Electric Power Bureau, Ningxiang 410600, Hunan Province, China);LOAD FORECASTING BASED ON IMPROVED GM(1,1) MODEL[J];Power System Technology;2004-13\n1 Zhou Xiaohua (Guangxi University of Technology);Research on Mid-Long Term Power Load Forecasting Based on GMDH[J];Electrotechnical Application;2008-06\n2 LIU Zhong,ZHOU Jianzhong,ZHANG Yongchuan,ZOU Min(Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China);Compound Characteristic Extraction Based Fault Diagnosis of Hydroelectric Generating Unit Using RBF Neural Network[J];Automation of Electric Power Systems;2007-11\n3 CHEN Lin-gang,HAN Feng-qin,GUI Zhong-hua(College of Electrical Engineering,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,Guangdong Province,China);A Neural Network Based Intelligent Fault Diagnosis System for Hydroelectric Generating Sets[J];Power System Technology;2006-01\n4 XIAO Yan-cai, CHEN Xiu-hai, ZHU Heng-jun (Beijing Jiaotong University, Haidian District, Beijing 100044, China; Beijing Electric Power Corporation, Xicheng District, Beijing 100031, China);Prediction of Gas Dissolved in Power Transformer Oil by Improved Multivariable Grey Model[J];Power System Technology;2006-10\n5 CHEN Peng,LI Xu-hong,SUN Hua-can(School of Transportation,Southeast University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210096,China);Analysis of Traffic Accident Based on Fractal Theory[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2008-03\n6 XU Jiao1,LI Ru-qi1,BEI Yu2,WEI Li1,CHU Jin-sheng1(1.College of Electrical Engineering,Guangxi University,Nanning 530004,China; 2.Guilin Power Supply Bureau,Guilin 541004,China);Short-term Load Forecasting Based on Fractal Interpolation Parameter Optimization by Modified Genetic Algorithm[J];Guangxi Electric Power;2009-03\n7 YU De-jie,ZANG Xian-guo,LIU Jian,LI De-gang(College of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering,Hunan Univ,Changsha,Hunan 410082,China);Condition Prediction of Equipment Based on Grey Theory[J];Journal of Hunan University(Natural Sciences);2007-11\n8 Sun Hua1) Zhao Zhenfeng2) Wang Hongxia3)(No.92323 Troops of PLA1),Qingdao 266100)(No.91829 Troops of PLA2),Dalian 116041)(Naval University of Engineering3),Wuhan 430033);State Prediction Algorithm for Electronic Equipment Based on the Rough Set Theory[J];Ship Electronic Engineering;2009-10\n9 ZHANG Hong-wei,LU Ren-qiang,NIU Zhi-guang(School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China);Prediction Method of Urban Daily Water Consumption Based on Fractional Theory[J];Journal of Tianjin University;2009-01\n10 CHEN Zhiyu,HU Shenping,HAO Yanbin(Merchant Marine College,Shanghai Maritime Univ.,Shanghai 200135,China);Prediction of marine traffic accidents based on fractal theory[J];Journal of Shanghai Maritime University;2009-03\n2 Zhang Dahai (Electrical Engineering Department, Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072) Shi Kaiquan Jiang Shifang (Electrical Engineering College,ShanDong University of Technology,Jinan 250061);COEFFICIENT MODIFICATION OF GREY LOAD PREDICTION[J];Proceedings of The Csu-epsa;2001-02\n3 li Linchuan;(Tiangin University)Xia Daozhi;Yang Zhenping;(Xia jiaotong University)Wang Licheng;Deng Yonghui;Zhang Lifang;Dong bing (Yingchang Electric Transfer Department);SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING USiNG ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK[J];PROCEEDINGS OF THE CSU-EPSA;1994-03\n4 Xie KaiguiZhou Jiaqi Electric Power System Research Institute of Electrical Engineering College,Chongqing University Chongqing, 400044 China;RESEARCH OF SHORT\_|TERM LOAD FORECASTING MODELS OF POWER SYSTEM[J];POWER SYSTEM TECHNOLOGY;1999-11\n5 SHI De\_|ming, LI Lin\_|chuan, SONG Jian\_|wen (Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China);POWER SYSTEM LOAD FORECASTING BASED UPON COMBINATION OF GREY FORECAST AND ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK[J];Power System Technology;2001-12\n7 Niu Dongxiao Xing Mian Xie Hong Chen Zhiye North China Electric Power University Baoding, 071003 China;WAVELET NEURAL NETWORK MODEL FOR SHORT TERM LOAD FORECASTING[J];POWER SYSTEM TECHNOLOGY;1999-04\n8 Chen Zhangchao, Xiong Gang;Long-Term Forecasting for Pudong New Area of Shanghai Using Grey Theory[J];Systems Engineering;1994-02\n9 Han Minxiao; Xu Zhenhua; Yu Youying(Dept. of Postgraduate, NCIEP, Beijing, 100085);ELECTRIC LOAD-FORECASTING USING RBF NEURAL NETWORKS[J];;1994-04\n10 FAN Xi-hui ZHANG Yong-chuan (College of Hydroelectricity and Digitalisation Eng., HUST, Wuhan 430074, China);Power Load Forecasting Using GM(1,1) Model Cluster[J];Hydroelectric Energy;2002-03


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