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tokens: The blue line in the middle column is the PSD of the best-fit ARMA model, surrounded by a light blue 68% confidence band. The horizontal dashed line is the Poisson noise level inferred from the data. The vertical dashed line marks the break frequency, corresponding to T break,L from Table 6 , and the width of the gray rectangle symbolizes its standard error. The red line is the Fourier PSD, smoothed with a five-point moving average, to show the relation between the ARMA and Fourier features. The left column displays the ΔBIC scores of the ARMA( p , q ) fits. The right column contains the correlation and partial correlation functions of the fits’ residuals; the dashed lines enclose the 95% confidence region. Figure 17.13. TXS 0506+056, bin = 7 days Results of the ARMA fitting. The blue line in the middle column is the PSD of the best-fit ARMA model, surrounded by a light blue 68% confidence band. The horizontal dashed line is the Poisson noise level inferred from the data. The vertical dashed line marks the break frequency, corresponding to T break,L from Table 6 , and the width of the gray rectangle symbolizes its standard error. The red line is the Fourier PSD, smoothed with a five-point moving average, to show the relation between the ARMA and Fourier features. The left column displays the ΔBIC scores of the ARMA( p , q ) fits. The right column contains the correlation and partial correlation functions of the fits’ residuals; the dashed lines enclose the 95% confidence region. Figure 17.14. TXS 0506+056, bin = 10 days Results of the ARMA fitting. The blue line in the middle column is the PSD of the best-fit ARMA model, surrounded by a light blue 68% confidence band. The horizontal dashed line is the Poisson noise level inferred from the data. The vertical dashed line marks the break frequency, corresponding to T break,L from Table 6 , and the width of the gray rectangle symbolizes its standard error. The red line is the Fourier PSD, smoothed with a five-point moving average, to show the relation between the ARMA and Fourier features. The left column displays the ΔBIC scores of the ARMA( p , q ) fits. The right column contains the correlation and partial correlation functions of the fits’ residuals; the dashed lines enclose the 95% confidence region. Figure 17.15. TXS 0506+056, bin = 14 days Results of the ARMA fitting. The blue line in the middle column is the PSD of the best-fit ARMA model, surrounded by a light blue 68% confidence band. The horizontal dashed line is the Poisson noise level inferred from the data. The vertical dashed line marks the break frequency, corresponding to T break,L from Table 6 , and the width of the gray rectangle symbolizes its standard error. The red line is the Fourier PSD, smoothed with a five-point moving average, to show the relation between the ARMA and Fourier features. The left column displays the ΔBIC scores of the ARMA( p , q ) fits. The right column contains the correlation and partial correlation