61bond market as indicator of,
61–63
Nasdaq:
future of, 831998–2001, 82
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Net working capital, 166, 167–170New Concepts in Technical Trading
(Wilder), 54
The New Money Management
(Vince), 197News Corp., 91Nikkei, 83Nokia, 91Northcott, Gresham, 54
Oats, 80October effect:
bond market, using to predict,
53–61
ﬂuctuation in, 134–135low, attraction to, 163mutual fund money and, 46net working capital and, 166,
169–170
problem with focus on, 82–83seasonal inﬂuences of, 101, 136,
140–144
stair step pattern, 206–207
Price-to-book ratio, 149, 153, 154,
overview of, 29–34, 
177
101
reason for, 34–36October 1987, 57–59Odd lot short sales index, 50,
123–124
Oppenheimer Quest A, 189Optimal F, 198Option traders and sentiment index,
128–129
Oracle, 91O’Shaughnessy, James P., 153–154,
157–158, 160–161
Pattern for disaster, 75–83“Phenomenal ﬁve” years, 10–12Philip Morris, 133, 134Plan of action, following, 102Platinum, 80Polaroid, 90Portfolio Management Formulas
(Vince), 197Precious metals, 88Priceline.com, 108Prices:
Price-to-cash ﬂow ratio, 149, 153,
154, 171, 174
Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio:
bottom-line truth of investing
and, 150–151description of, 149“new economy” and, 105reality and, 106results using, 153Price-to-sales ratio:
description of, 150ﬁve lowest DJIA stocks, 
172
market low and, 160–161results using, 153, 154return on ﬁve highest DJIA stocks,
181
Private investors, 46, 68–70, 92. See
also Odd lot short sales indexProﬁt margin, increasing, 164–165Psychology of marketplace, 49–51.See also Investor sentiment
Punters, 106Purpose of investing, 85–86, 
activity, 1900–2001, 4–6advance, reasons for, 108–109
96
Put, writing, 141
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INDEX
Qualcomm, 138Qualitative Analytics, 161
Radio talk show, 23RCA, 90Real estate, 87–88Relative strength, 150, 153,
159–160Relative value, 42Return on equity, 150, 153, 
178
Return on investment:
campaign of action for, 97–98compounding effect, 99–100selection strategy, 103–104type of investment and, 145–146
Risk:
controlling, 148–149price-to-sales ratio and, 161–162time, selection, and, 86
Ruff, Howard, 22–23
Safe Investing (Slatter), 152Sears, 138Seasonal tendency:
October effect, 29–36, 
101
sentiment index and, 136,
140–144
Securities and Exchange
Commission, 120
Selection strategy:
blue-chip and growth stocks,
186–187
growth funds, 120–121mutual funds, 187–189overview of, 103–104start of buy market, 206–207
Sentiment data, see Investor
sentiment
Shiller, Robert J., 25–26Sibbett, Jim, 124Siegel, Jeremy, 152Slatter, John, 152Small-cap stocks, 158–159Smith Barney, 94Southwest Airlines, 213Soybeans, 79Speculation, 147Starbucks, 210Stocks for the Long Run (Siegel),
152
“Straight eight” factor, 
24–27
Sugar, price of, 75, 78, 79Sun Microsystems, 91Sure Thing Commodity Trading
(Williams), 140
“Sure thing seven” years, 12–14Sycamore Networks, 91Syntex, 76
Technology stocks, 75“Tech wreck,” 61Television, 215Ten-year pattern for stock prices:
annual percent change in
Standard & Poor’s index, 11
overview of, 2, 6–10
Thatcher, F. B., 6Thermodynamics, second law of,
127
Thompson Corp., 115–116Thorn, Mark, 2043M, 126Time, taking to make investment
Selling points, best, 13
decision, 155
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Timing entry into market:mutual funds, 189–191stocks, 100–101, 102, 183–185
Transparency of market, 
73
Transportation sector, 212–213Trend:
end of, 130, 135overall up, measuring, 131proﬁt and, 147stock market, 205
Wall Street Journal, 68Wal-Mart, 136, 139, 141–142Web sites:
author, 182Commodity Quote Graphics, 144Genesis Financial Data Service,
144
Shiller, Robert J., 26Yardeni, Ed, 43
Weiss, Robert, 146–147Westinghouse, 90What Works on Wall Street
Ultimanager, 204Undervalued, telling when stocks
(O’Shaughnessy), 153–154,157–158, 160–161
are, 41–43Utility stocks, 186
Value:
Wheat, 77, 78Wilder, Welles, 54Williams high-yield investmentrolling plan, 184–187
concept of, 146–148investment in, 71, 72traditional measures of, 149–150
WorldCom, 91Worth, 75, 90–92www.insiderreview.com, 120
Value Line, 160, 186–187, 
188
Value stocks, 107Vince, Ralph, 195, 197, 198Volatility stop, 54–61, 62
Yardeni, Ed, 43Yield, 42, 150, 152–154, 173
Zweig, Marty, 124
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