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Why the climate problem requires a new generation of uncertainty analysis / Roger Cooke, Common Resources, January 8, 2013http://common-resources.org/2013/why-the-climate-problem-requires-a-new-generation-of-uncertainty-analysisOver the past decade, the importance of incorporating uncertainty analysis into climate modeling has become generally recognized.  The question is whether our current tools are up to the task.  I’ve been looking at this question and my paper on it, “Uncertainty analysis comes to integrated assessment models for climate change…and conversely,” has just been published in Climatic Change (available as an open access publication).  My conclusion is that we need a serious investment in a new generation of of uncertainty quantification techniques to address the difficult issues that the climate problem raises...