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A Tale of Two Countries: Emissions Scenarios for  China and India / Emanuele Massetti. FEEM, March 2011, 25 p. (Note di lavoro ; 2011.24)http://www.feem.it/userfiles/attach/201134112954NDL2011-024.pdfThe aim of the paper is to present evidence that China and India are, and  will remain, two very different actors in international negotiations to control  global warming. We base our conclusions on historical data and on scenarios  until 2050. The Business-as-Usual scenario (BaU) is compared to four Emissions  Tax scenarios to draw insights on major transformations in energy use and in  energy supply and to assess the possible contribution of China and India to a  future international climate architecture. We study whether or not the  Copenhagen intensity targets require more action than the BaU scenario and we  assess whether the emissions reductions induced by the four tax scenarios are  compatible with the G8 and MEF pledge to reduce global emissions by 50% in  2050. (© Massetti)