Synchronized sigmoidal mixed‐effects model for dynamics of cognitive decline relative to onset of Alzheimer’s disease in aging adults in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study.

Modeling the dynamics of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) biomarkers over the entire continuum of AD progression is important, yet challenging due to limited resources to collect longitudinal biomarkers from the aging population with fully observed clinical spectrum of AD. This study proposed and applied a synchronized sigmoidal mixed‐effects model to characterize dynamics of longitudinal memory performance using data from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). The model leveraged time to AD onset as the time scale and additionally allowed inclusion of participants without AD onset, drastically expanding future applications.