The Commodity Structure of the Most Important Egyptian Exports to African Horn Countries الهيكل السلعي لأهم الصادرات المصرية لدول القرن الأفريقي

The research aims to study the evolution and commodity structure of Egyptian exports to the African Horn countries, and the commodity competitiveness of Egyptian exports in the markets of the AH Countries. Annual data covering the period 2008-2019 was used to measure foreign trade and competitiveness indicators. The research conducts stepwise regression analysis to determine most important factors affecting the demand on Egyptian exports in African Horn countries market. It shows that the total Egyptian exports to the African Horn countries represents 0.8% of total Egyptian exports. Results reveal that Ethiopia, Eritrea, Somalia and Djibouti absorb 37.7%, 28.8%, 19.9% and 13.6% of the Egyptian exports to the African Horn countries, respectively. It was also shown that the group of animal and vegetable products, beverages and tobacco absorb 31%, 70.5% and 84.5% of the total Egyptian exports for Djibouti, Eritrea and Somalia respectively, while the group of chemical and plastic products come on top of groups to which Egypt exports to Ethiopia by 38.3%.The results reveal that market share of the Egyptian exports of cheese and yogurt to Djibouti is estimated at 0.35 where it superior its competitors, also the penetration rate of Egyptian cheese and yoghurt exports to the Djibouti market, and the quantity of cheese and yoghurt imports by Djibouti changing by 1% would result in statistically significant increasing the Egyptian cheese and yoghurt exports quantities by 2.29%. It has also been shown that the group of sunflower seeds, cottonseed oil and safflower absorb 8.2% of the total Egyptian exports to Ethiopia from the group of animal and vegetable