ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF WAGE VOLUMES IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION

The article econometric analysis of the volume of average nominal accrued wages in the Russian Federation for 2018-2021. Based on quarterly data a multiplicative model of a time series is constructed. The resulting model served as the basis for calculating the forecast of wage values for the 1st half of 2022. To improve the quality of forecasting, the method of introducing fictitious variables was used.