Logical modelling of myelofibrotic microenvironment predicts dysregulated progenitor stem cell crosstalk

Primary myelofibrosis is an untreatable age-related disorder of haematopoiesis in which a break in the crosstalk between progenitor Haematopoietic Stem Cells (HSCs) and neighbouring mesenchymal stem cells causes HSCs to rapidly proliferate and migrate out of the bone marrow. 90% of patients harbour mutations in driver genes that all converge to overactivate hematopoietic JAK-STAT signalling, which is thought to be critical for disease progression, as well as microenvironment modification induced by chronic inflammation. The trigger to the initial event is unknown but dysregulated thrombopoietin (TPO) and Toll-Like Receptor (TLR) signalling are hypothesised to initiate chronic inflammation which then disrupts stem cell crosstalk. Using a systems biology approach, we have constructed an inter and intracellular logical model that captures JAK-STAT signalling and key crosstalk channels between haematopoietic and mesenchymal stem cells. The aim of the model is to decipher how TPO and TLR stimulation can perturb the bone marrow microenvironment and dysregulate stem cell crosstalk. The model predicted conditions in which the disease was averted and established for both wildtype and ectopically JAK mutated simulations. The presence of TPO and TLR are both required to disturb stem cell crosstalk and result in the disease for wildtype. TLR signalling alone was sufficient to perturb the crosstalk and drive disease progression for JAK mutated simulations. Furthermore, the model predicts the probability of disease onset for wildtype simulations that matches clinical data. These predictions might explain why patients who test negative for the JAK mutation can still be diagnosed with PMF, in which continual exposure to TPO and TLR receptor activation may trigger the initial inflammatory event that perturbs the bone marrow microenvironment and induce disease onset.