Natural History of Small Gastric Subepithelial Lesions Less than 20 mm: A Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study (NUTSHELL20 Study).

BACKGROUND AND AIM
Small gastric subepithelial lesions (SELs) are sometimes encountered in daily esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) practice, but whether once-annual or twice-annual endoscopy can provide sufficient follow-up remains unclear. Because follow-up based on small-SEL characteristics is important, this study clarified the natural history of gastric SELs less than 20 mm.


METHODS
This retrospective multicenter observation study conducted at 24 Japanese hospitals during April 2000 to March 2020 examined small gastric SELs of ≤20 mm diameter. The primary outcome was the rate of size increase of those SELs detected using EGD, with growth times assessed irrespective of SEL pathological diagnoses.


RESULTS
We examined 824 cases with tumors of 1-5 mm diameter in 298 (36.2%) cases, 6-10 mm in 344 (41.7%) cases, 11-15 mm in 112 (13.6%) cases, and 16-20 mm in 70 (8.50%) cases. An increase of small gastric SELs was observed in 70/824 patients (8.5%). The SELs larger than 6 mm increased, even after 10 years. No-change and increasing groups had no significantly different malignant findings at diagnosis. In cases of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs), internal cystic change in endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is a risk factor for an increased tumor size. The predictive tumor growth cutoff size at initial diagnosis was 13.5 mm.


CONCLUSIONS
Small gastric SELs less than 20 mm have an approximately 8.5% chance of increase. Predictive markers for GIST growth are tumor size ≥13.5 mm and internal cystic change in EUS.