Clinical Benefit of First-Line Programmed Death-1 Antibody Plus Chemotherapy in Low Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1–Expressing Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Post Hoc Analysis of JUPITER-06 and Meta-Analysis

Pembrolizumab or nivolumab plus chemotherapy was approved as a first-line treatment for high programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1)–expressing esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) by the European Medicines Agency, whereas the US Food and Drug Administration approved this regimen regardless of PD-L1 expression. The superiority of programmed death-1 (PD-1) antibody plus chemotherapy over chemotherapy alone in patients with low PD-L1–expressing ESCC remains debatable. Post hoc analysis of the Chinese JUPITER-06 study focusing on efficacy stratified by PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS; using JS311 antibody) was conducted. Electronic databases were searched to identify eligible randomized controlled trials for meta-analysis. Study-level pooled analyses of hazard ratios (HRs) for overall survival and progression-free survival and odds ratios for objective response rate according to PD-L1 expression were performed. The post hoc analysis of JUPITER-06 showed more prominent clinical benefit with PD-1 antibody plus chemotherapy than with chemotherapy alone in both the high and low PD-L1–expressing subgroups. Five randomized controlled trials were included in the meta-analysis, and two PD-L1 expression scoring criteria, TPS (≥ 1%/< 1%) and combined positive score (CPS, ≥ 10/< 10), were analyzed. Significant overall survival benefit by adding PD-1 antibody to chemotherapy was observed in both the TPS < 1% (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.97) and CPS < 10 (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.89) subgroups. Similarly, significantly prolonged progression-free survival was observed in both the TPS < 1% (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.86) and CPS < 10 (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.84) subgroups. In addition, the objective response rate of the TPS < 1% subgroup was significantly improved (odds ratio, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.27 to 2.29). In all high PD-L1–expressing subgroups, the pooled benefit of PD-1 antibody plus chemotherapy was significantly better than that of chemotherapy. This study provided novel evidence supporting the superiority of PD-1 antibody plus chemotherapy to chemotherapy alone in patients with advanced ESCC with low PD-L1 expression. Further studies of predictive biomarkers are warranted.