Sensitivity of Ozone Formation in Summer in Jinan Using Observation-Based Model

According to online monitoring data on atmospheric ozone and the pollution characteristics of its precursors obtained in Jinan in June 2021, we analyzed different sites: urban sites (city monitoring station, Quancheng Square), an industrial park site (oil refinery), and a suburban site (Paomaling). The relative incremental reactivity of different precursors was calculated using a photochemical observation-based model to explore the sensitivity of O3 generation at each site and to draw a curve using the empirical kinetics modeling approach. The PMF model was used to analyze the origin of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) pollution in Jinan. The results showed that the concentration of O3 at the industrial park was higher than that in the urban area in Jinan, which may be related to the fact that ozone precursor concentrations in the industrial park were significantly higher than those in the urban area (the AVOCs concentration at the industrial park site was 56.9 ppbv, approximately twice that of the urban site), and there are emission peaks at night; alkanes, oxygenated compounds, and halogenated hydrocarbons were the main components of the AVOCs, and olefins, alkanes, and aromatic hydrocarbons were the main active components in Jinan. The O3 generation in urban areas generally occurred in the VOCs-sensitive zones, while the O3 generation in the other areas occurred in the VOCs-NOx transition zone; there was a clear diurnal variation in the sensitivity of the industrial park, with the site being in the obvious VOCs-sensitive zone from nighttime to morning hours and shifting to the VOCs-NOx transition zone in the afternoon hours; the relative incremental reactivity (RIR) value of AVOCs for O3 generation in Jinan was the largest, and olefins were the most sensitive component of O3. The AVOCs in Jinan mainly originated from motor vehicle exhaust, oil and gas volatilization, industrial emissions, and solvent use, and ozone prevention and control in summer should strengthen the control of these sources.