Opinion Polling for the 2023 Dutch provincial elections
# Opinion Polling for the 2023 Dutch provincial elections

In the run-up to the 2023 Dutch provincial elections, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. In addition to national pollsters such as I&O Research and Ipsos, some local and smaller polling organizations have polled for voting intentions in specific provinces or even cities. The 12 provinces are ordered on this page by their population size at the time of the elections. The first opinion polls for these elections were conducted in late 2022, with final polls often being released the day before the election. The elections are scheduled to be held on the 15th of March 2023.

## National

### Vote Share

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | FvD | VVD | CDA | GL | PvdA | D66 | PVV | SP | CU | PvdD | 50+ | SGP | DENK | Volt | JA21 | BBB | BVNL | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | 5,291 | 3.2% | 18.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 7.4% |
| Ipsos | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 1,961 | 3.2% | 17.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 9.5% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 6.2% |
| I&O Research | 10–13 Feb 2023 | 2,489 | 3.3% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| I&O Research | 13–16 Jan 2023 | 2,489 | 2.5% | 14.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 0.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 7.0% | 0.5% |

## South Holland

### Seats

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | FvD | VVD | GL | D66 | PvdA | CDA | PVV | CU | 50+ | PvdD | SP | SGP | DENK | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | ~500 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 11 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 0 | 1 |

### Vote Share

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | FvD | VVD | GL | D66 | PvdA | CDA | PVV | CU | 50+ | PvdD | SP | SGP | DENK | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Motivaction | 1–31 Jan 2023 | 800+ | 2.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 17.4% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 1.6% | 1.7% |

## North Holland

### Seats

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | FvD | GL | VVD | D66 | PvdA | CDA | PvdD | PVV | SP | CU | 50+ | DENK | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | ~500 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 0 | Tie |

### Vote Share

**Amsterdam**

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | GL | D66 | PvdA | VVD | PvdD | FvD | DENK | SP | PVV | CDA | CU | 50+ | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| O&S | 25 Feb 2023 | 1,246 | 18.3% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | – | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 23.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 2.2% | 10.2% |

## North Brabant

### Seats

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | VVD | FvD | CDA | SP | D66 | GL | PVV | PvdA | 50+ | PvdD | LB | CU–SGP | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | ~500 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 0 | 1 |

## Gelderland

### Seats

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | VVD | FvD | CDA | GL | PvdA | D66 | CU | PVV | SP | SGP | PvdD | 50+ | LPG | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | ~500 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | Tie |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 0 | Tie |

## Utrecht

### Seats

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | GL | VVD | FvD | CDA | D66 | PvdA | CU | PVV | PvdD | SP | SGP | 50+ | DENK | Volt | JA21 | BBB | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | ~500 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 0 | Tie |

## Overijssel

### Seats

| Polling firm | Release date | Sample size | CDA | FvD | VVD | GL | PvdA | CU | PVV | SP | D66 | SGP | 50+ | PvdD | Volt | JA21 | BBB | BVNL | Others | Lead |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ipsos | 17–27 Feb 2023 | ~500 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2019 election | 20 Mar 2019 | – | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | did not contest | 0 | Tie |
