text: Comments: Under has been a good bet in both Richmond, and matches at Etihad Stadium on Friday nights as of late, so I’ll be looking that way again.
  Comments: This matchup has produced high scoring matches in the last few years, and with only a small chance of rain expected, I expect this to be somewhat of a shootout at the MCG. I love the over in this match!
  The SCG hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for the Suns – losing all of their previous games by over 60 points. To add to the pain, the Swans seem to do it easily and tend to put up a lot of points when playing at home as heavy favourites, and with % going to play a big part as to who finishes where on the ladder, the Swans will want a big boost out of this one.
  Comments: Fremantle have a great record against Essendon in the last few years, but most of those game have been in Perth, and Fremantle have a shocking record away from home in 2018, so I’m going to gladly steer clear of this game.
  Comments: Despite Brisbane being the only team to win in each of the last 3 rounds, I can’t help but think Adelaide’s class across the board will prevail. With that being said, I don’t have enough guts to go against Brisbane across the whole game as their % in 2nd halves of matches is an incredible 113.5! So I’m going for the first half play in this one, it seems the wiser play.
  Geelong are 19-0 SU, 14-5 ATS in their last 19 matches in Geelong against teams that aren’t named “Sydney”
  Comments: Geelong have had a pretty ordinary month, to be fair, despite beating Sydney at the SCG a couple of weeks ago, but they will welcome the idea of playing on their home turf once again. Even though Melbourne have undoubtedly played their best footy away from the MCG this season, I just don’t see them winning in this one. I was originally tossing up between Geelong ATS and the Under as I think they’re both good plays, but Melbourne are capable of leaking goals at times, so either way, take Geelong to bounce back here.
  Comments: The trends strongly suggest to back Carlton to some capacity, so I am leaning towards Hawthorn 1-39, but I don’t understand how you can trust a team that have lost to Fremantle, Brisbane and St Kilda in the last few weeks, all by over 10 goals. Stay away.
  Comments: You won’t see a total as low as this too often, but with heavy rain expected throughout the morning and afternoon, I’m willing to take it on. I reckon the Bulldogs will struggle to score 45 points themselves, and it would be a big task for the Eagles to score over 100 in these conditions.
  In matches involving Port Adelaide where the line is 15 or less (either way) at Adelaide Oval against interstate teams, 9 of the last 10 games have been decided by 24 points or less.
  Comments: Port Adelaide will be looking to bounce back after their disastrous loss on the road against Fremantle last week, but they’re up against a Giants team that will have their tails up after beating Richmond. 9 of the last 10 predictably close Port Adelaide matches at Adelaide Oval have been just that – close – so I’ll back another one here.