It is now generally accepted that in many cases the calculations of the required amount of debt relief were based on unrealistic assumptions underlying the export growth projections.16 According to IMF, export projections made when countries had reached the Decision Point have turned out to be overoptimistic in two thirds of the HIPCs.17 Other analysts estimate that in 13 HIPCs debt levels will not be brought down to sustainable levels in the foreseeable future.18
Otros analistas calculan que en 13 países de ese grupo la deuda no se reducirá hasta niveles sostenibles en un plazo previsible18.