It is now generally accepted that in many cases the calculations of the required amount of debt relief were based on unrealistic assumptions underlying the export growth projections.16 According to IMF, export projections made when countries had reached the Decision Point have turned out to be overoptimistic in two thirds of the HIPCs.17 Other analysts estimate that in 13 HIPCs debt levels will not be brought down to sustainable levels in the foreseeable future.18
D'autres analystes sont d'avis que, dans 13 des PPTE, les niveaux de la dette ne pourront redescendre à des niveaux viables dans un avenir proche.