Coordinator: Good afternoon and thank you
for standing by.
I'd like to inform all participants that your
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until the question-and-answer session of today's
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Today's call is also being recorded.
If anyone has any objections, you may disconnect
at this time.
I would now like to turn the call over to
Ms. Earlene Dowell.
Thank you. You may begin.
Earlene Dowell: Thank you, Erica.
Good afternoon and thank you to Lisa West
from the U.S. Census Bureau for hosting
this webinar.
In light of the recent transition to 100%
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you for your continued support of our outreach
and education efforts.
On behalf of the U.S. Census Bureau, welcome
to the 2017 Economic Census Webinar Series.
Thank you for joining my colleague Andy Hait,
and myself this afternoon.
My name is Earlene Dowell and I'm a Program
Analyst at the U.S. Census Bureau.
Today's webinar will cover 2017 Economic Census
Data Released for Arkansas, Florida, Georgia,
Michigan, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas.
Here is the latest agenda of the 2017 Economic
Webinar Series and what's to come.
U.S. stats are from the first-look reports.
The greyed out rows shows the webinars that
have already been conducted.
These webinars are available at the Census
Academy link at the bottom of the page.
Also, just to let you know, we had to change
our last webinar from August to September
3, so please make a note of that.
We conduct more than 130 different Monthly,
Quarterly, and Annual Census Surveys every
single year.
Beginning with the Decennial Census, which
is mandated by the Constitution and is conducted
every ten years to count every person living
in the United States and the five U.S. territories.
By now, many of you have probably received
and filled out your 2020 Census.
If you have any questions, go to 2020census.gov.
The next survey listed is the American Community
Survey or the ACS.
The ACS took the place of the Decennial Census
long form.
This is an ongoing annual survey that gives
detailed demographic, socioeconomic, and
housing data.
In addition to those demographic surveys,
we also conduct a number of business programs.
Every five years, Census conducts a Census
of Governments, which identifies the scope
and nature of the nation, state, and local
government sector.
The Census provides reliable benchmarks, figures
of public finance, and public employment,
such as payroll, total employees, and finance
of government.
And finally, the Economic Census is conducted
every five years and collects extensive statistics
about business that is essential to understanding
the American economy.
The U.S. Census Bureau's mission is to serve
as the leading provider of quality data on
U.S. people and its economy.
There are 58 different business surveys.
This pyramid gives you a visual of the hierarchy
of the different economic programs.
At the top are our monthly and quarterly surveys.
Every month we conduct 17 out of 22 economic
indicator surveys.
They include programs like the Monthly Retail
Trade Surveys, which provides monthly estimates
on sales and inventory at retail or food services
stores.
These surveys are very timely but highly aggregated
when it comes to the level of geography, which
is only shown at the National level.
Moving down the pyramid, we come to the annual
surveys, which include the popular surveys
like the Annual Survey of Manufactures and
the Annual Retail Trade Surveys, to name a
couple.
These annual surveys are more detailed than
what are available in the Monthly, Quarterly
Surveys.
They include information not only at the National
level, but they even include data down to
the state, metropolitan area, and even county
level.
Annual surveys tend to provide up to date
trends to forecast future demands.
At the base of the pyramid is the Economic
Census that is conducted every five years
on every employer business in the U.S.
There are about eight million employer businesses.
The Economic Census is the most detailed and
comprehensive economic program.
It covers almost every two through six-digit
code covered by the Census Bureau.
These codes are known as the North American
Industry Classification System or NAICS codes.
A link of all full lists of exclusions is
provided.
One exclusion is that we do not publish data
for agriculture, which is published by the
Department of Agriculture since 1997.
The Economic Census also provides detailed
geographic information at the national, state,
metropolitan area, and even county levels.
We are publishing place levels for some sectors,
but there have been some adjustments, which
we'll talk about later.
The Economic Census also publishes other dimensions
of data broken out by business size.
There are four different dimensions that are
available - employment size, revenue size,
total number of establishments, and by company
size.
We also publish data by franchise or non-franchise
owners.
What makes the Economic Census so detailed
is that it includes over 200 data variables,
such as number of establishments, employment
totals, or payroll.
However, one of the unique data published
by the Economic Census is revenue broken down
below the National level.
The Economic Census also publishes the product
line data.
Product lines are the detailed products and
services provided by businesses and tailored
to the individual industry.
The Economic Census can be found on Censuses
new platform, data.census.gov, Census Business
Builder, and other Census tools.
Finally, on this slide, the banner on the
right includes an example of an Econ Census
promotion advertisement and the tentative
schedule of releases.
This is the schedule of when 2017 Econ Census
data releases are planned.
The geographical area statistics data releases
are expected by November 2020.
The entire sets of data will be completed
by December 2021.
In the red box is a link that takes you directly
to this updated release schedule.
The infographic on the right displays the
states that have the released data for the
2017 Economic Census.
By clicking on each individual state, you
can get a better idea of which NAICS sectors
have been released for that state and it is
also - it also includes a direct link to the
data source.
You can also sort the NAICS sectors at the
top of the infographic to see what percentage
of the sectors have been released thus far.
The percentage marker on the bottom right
will automatically refresh based on your selection.
The infographic can be found in the link at
the top in the red box.
The states we are covering today were released
on April 23.
When we think about changes from the Economic
Census, it can be grouped into four broad
categories.
The first are geographic areas.
Compared to the 2012 Economic Census, the
2017 Census no longer has zip code data, but
there is still zip code data in the Zip Code
Business Patterns.
Also, there is no place data for manufacturing
due to privacy rules.
There are also changes in the NAICS codes
that we will go over in a bit.
As I mentioned earlier regarding the product
line data tables are now being replaced by
the new North American Product Classification
or NAPCS system in the 2017 Economic Census.
NAPCS are product codes that Census publishes
as part of this Economic Census.
Under this new classification system, products
are now going to be published consistently
across their different sectors.
So what that will allow users to do hopefully
is allow them to more easily combine product
data across industries.
So for example, let's say you were interested
in shoes and you wanted to get information
on shoe manufacturers, shoe wholesalers, shoe
stores, and shoe repair.
Those would be four completely different industries
that would have historically had four very
different ways of publishing the product data
for those four different industries.
Under NAPCS now that shoe data will be more
consistently displayed.
Be sure to check out the link on the bottom
of the slide to learn more.
Other changes include new disclosure rules
and of course, the new data.census.gov dissemination
platform.
So let's go ahead and look at the changes
for Arkansas.
With one new Micro Area for Hope, Arkansas,
made up of Hempstead and Nevada counties,
both which were not metro - both non-metro
in 2012.
There were 185 economic place changes, which
included 93 places with areas of gains, and
in the Area Gain, we can see North Little
Rock City.
There were 82 places with Area Loss - including
Pine Bluff City - one place with a name change
- which was Bella Vista Town, which is now
Bella Vista City - and nine new places and
two dropped places.
Be sure to check out the two links provided
for more information.
Geographical area changes for Florida are
new Pensacola Ferry Pass Florida Alabama CSA
with 356 economic place changes.
One hundred and ninety-one places with area
gains - including Daytona Beach City - 148
places with area loss - including Fort Myers
- one place with a name change - Estero CDP,
now Estero Village - 14 new places and 10
dropped places.
For Georgia, we have two metro area changes
- Macon-Bibb County Warner Robins CSA name
changed and new Eufaula, Alabama Georgia micro
area.
There were 267 economic place changes, 140
places with area gain - including Atlanta
City - 98 places with area loss - including
Waycross City - 6 places with name changed,
16 new places, and 4 dropped places.
Moving onto Michigan, there were no metro
changes, but there were 551 economic place
changes.
There were 253 places with area gains - including
Ann Arbor - 266 places with area loss - including
Marquette City - 12 places with a name change,
20 new places, and 11 dropped places.
Next, we have information on New Mexico.
New Ruidos micro area with 104 economic place
changes, 46 places with area gain - including
Las Cruces - 53 places with area loss - including
Rio Rancho City - 2 places with a name change
- Rio Community CDP, now Rio Community City,
and Kirtland CDP, now Kirtland City.
There were three new places and three dropped
places.
Join Andy tomorrow for a more comprehensive
coverage on New Mexico as part of the New
Mexico State Data Center Conference.
Meanwhile in Oklahoma, there were two metro
changes.
There was Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas-Oklahoma
CSA added a new micro area, and Enid micro
area is now a metro area.
There are 150 economic place changes, which
included (62) places with an area gain - including
Tulsa City - 49 places with area loss - including
Oklahoma City - 1 place with a name change
- McLoud Town, now McLoud City - 3 new places
and 1 dropped place.
Finally, deep in the heart Texas, Dallas-Fort
Worth, Texas-Oklahoma CSA now includes a new
micro area, Farnham.
There were 694 economic place changes, 377
places with an area gain in Arlington City,
251 places with area loss in Dallas City,
7 places with a name change, 40 new places,
and 6 dropped places.
As mentioned before NAICS - or the North American
Industry Classification System - is a system
that we use to classify every single business
in the United States.
Census assigns the NAICS code to the business
based upon their primary activity.
The next two slides will highlight the changes
in the 2017 Economic Census.
NAICS developed by OMB or the Office of Management
and Budget, Statistics Canada, and Mexico
Staff Agencies.
This was done to ensure that there was comparability
across the North American countries.
NAICS was adopted in 1997 and is updated every
five years.
Types of changes include One-to-One (Recodes)
- which means there are no changes but it
has been recoded - Many-to-One (Combos) - which
is three or four codes combined into one - Many-to-Many,
and One-to-(Splitters) - which has no changes
in 2017, but there were a few in 2012.
For example, in 2012, the Electric Power Generation
Code was split into solar electric and solar
farm.
We'll cover these types of changes in the
next slide and note the color codes will mirror
the upcoming tables.
So let's go over a couple NAICS changes.
Remember in the previous slide, (salmon) color
equals name change or NAICS change, blue equals
NAICS change only, and green equals merged
NAICS change.
So in mining, Crude Petroleum and Natural
Gas Extractions 211111 has changed to Crude
Petroleum Extraction 211120.
Natural Gas Liquid Extraction was changed
to Natural Gas Extraction.
In manufacturing Pump and Pumping Equipment
Manufacturing, and Measuring and Dispensing
Pump Manufacturing has merged to become Measuring
Dispensing and Other Pumping Equipment Manufacturing.
In retail trade, Warehouse Clubs and Supercenters
has a NAICS code change of 4529110 to 452311,
but now includes businesses with significant
perishable good sales that used to be classified
in 452112.
The name is the same, but content is not.
Other changes included information, real estate
and rental and leasing, and professional scientific
and technical services.
Under information in green, we see Record
Production and Integrated Record Production
Distribution is now changed to Record Production
and Distribution.
The blue tables are cases where it's simply
a recode, meaning the content of the industry
has changed and all but the code that we classified
it under has, such as Formal Wear and Costume
Rentals from 582220 to 532281 under Real Estate
and Rental and Leasing.
For Professional Scientific and Technical
Services, this is the only sector that has
had a truly brand new never published before
kind of code and this is for research and
development and nanotechnology.
Again, this is important when you're using
these data because you want to make sure you're
pulling the data from the correct industry.
So the primary place to access this data will
be data.census.gov, but we also have Economic
Census in QuickFacts on the Census home page
and in the Census Business Builder.
With the 2017 Economic Census, we are also
releasing some fun facts for social media
and other platforms.
These are fun facts that we release for Florida
and New Mexico.
Each one focuses on a NAICS sector of interest
for that state and uses the 50 State Quarter
from the U.S. Mint.
So with that, I will hand it over to Andy
and he'll finish off the webinar.
Andy Hait: Great.
Thank you so much, Earlene.
So again, my name is Andy Hait.
I am an economist at the U.S. Census Bureau
and today, I'm going to continue what Earlene
started on and talk a little bit more about
the data that is available and released from
the Economic Census for these seven states.
I notice there's been a number of questions
that have come up during the chat about some
of those boundary changes that Earlene was
going to talk - was just talking about, so
let me just take a quick diversion and just
apply a little bit more context to what Earlene
was talking about.
So boundary change can occur for a number
of reasons in a number of ways.
An incorporated citiy can annex - some part
of unincorporated area next to it - that city
could be annexed some area, could sort of
give area, give land that used to be within
the bounds of that city or town or village
or borough to a neighboring city or town or
village or borough.
Those types of changes of course are legal
changes to the boundaries of that geography.
Often there are changes that are not legal
changes.
A simple movement of a river.
You have a major flooding event and a river
relocates itself and now that river has moved
where the river used to be and that river
was the boundary of that particular city or
town.
Well, now the boundary of that city or town
has changed.
At the Census Bureau, we do not re-tabulate
prior year data to the new boundaries.
But what we do do - that Earlene was talking
about - is we provide reference material to
you to number one, alert you to the fact that
a boundary change has occurred.
If I was comparing data for the town that
I live in today to what the economic activity
was in my town ten years ago, if I did not
take into account the boundary change that
has actually occurred in the town that I live
in, I might actually say, "Wow, look how much
the economy of Crofton, Maryland has grown."
But in fact, some amount of that real economic
growth isn't real.
It's a figment of the boundary change.
So we provide information - and again, Earlene
talked about the recourses that we have, those
reference types lists - that list all of those
areas that have had area gain or area loss.
We provide lists of them to be alerted to
the fact that yes, the boundary I care about
has changed, or no, there hasn't been a boundary
change and therefore the data over time are
comparable.
I can now compare that data over time.
We also then have a mapping resource so you
can actually see that boundary change.
I could actually look on the map and I could
see what the boundary of Crofton, Maryland
was in 2012 and what the boundary of Crofton,
Maryland is in 2017 Economic Census, and I
could see that now the current boundary - the
2017 vintage boundary of Crofton - now includes
businesses and houses, by the way, that used
to be outside of Crofton, Maryland.
The key point I want to make here before I
move onto the data is that these geographic
changes are not only important when you're
using data from the Census Bureau and you're
comparing that data over time, but those boundary
changes are important any time you're comparing
data over time from any data provider.
I can only think of two or three data providers
that actually re-tabulate their data to the
old and new basis, the new boundaries.
Most data providers don't do that at all and
they are basically leaving it up to you to
understand whether or not that geography that
you care about has changed.
Some people think that it's only small towns
or small counties that have boundary change.
That is not true at all.
As Earlene was walking through the comparisons,
she pointed out a couple of new large cities
in the states that we were just talking about
that have had a boundary change.
The city of Chicago had a boundary change.
Now, whether that change was significant - whether
the economy of Chicago really has changed
significantly because of the boundary change
- you're the one who can make that decision,
but we try to provide the raw materials to
you to help you decide.
Yes, I know that boundary changed.
But I know that there are only three businesses
in that area that now is included in my town
that wasn't there before, but you know what,
I'll call it comparable.
It doesn't need to be perfect for my purposes.
Whereas another boundary change, you might
say, "Oh my gosh, that boundary change - that
annexation that has occurred - actually has
now really changed the boundaries, the geography,
the data for my area and no, I can't compare
that data because it's really not comparable."
So we provide those material for you.
So thank you, all, for asking those questions
in the chat.
So what I'd like to now do is provide a little
bit of facts, a little numbers from the 2017
Economic Census to talk about some of the
key findings that we had found.
Now, as Earlene pointed out, the data we published
in the Economic Census are published not only
at the state level, but also at the metropolitan
area, county, place - that we call city, town,
village, and borough - and even in some of
our programs, down to the zip code.
Econ Census is just down to place.
The data are not only shown at the true digit
NAICS sectors, but like the sectors you're
seeing on the slide right now - mining, utilities,
construction, manufacturing, these broad categories
- but the data are also provided at the three,
four, five, and six-digit NAICS code levels.
So what I would encourage you all to do as
I walk through these slides is I would encourage
you to further explore this data, to understand
what is it about the wholesale sector in Arkansas
that makes it a larger factor in terms of
revenue for the entire state.
You can see that of all of the published sectors
that we have published data for the state
of Arkansas, the largest one - by quite a
bit - is the wholesale trade sector with about
$74.6 billion in revenue during 2017.
The second-ranked one was retail trade.
Third-ranked one was the healthcare social
assistance sector.
And as we walk through these slides, you'll
see that sometimes you see the same patterns
from state to state.
Wholesale trade tends to be the largest sector
in most states, but you'll definitely see
that that may not be true in other states.
Now, on the right-hand side, we're looking
at the change in revenue by sector at the
state level from 2012 through 2017 and you
can see that not only is the wholesale trade
sector the largest sector in Arkansas in 2017,
it has also had the largest increase since
2012.
Wholesale trade rose by nearly $13 billion
in that five-year period.
So that sector really is booming.
The second-ranked sector is the healthcare
sector.
That's a very common situation in the U.S.
Healthcare has been growing in the United
States economy for at least the 20 or 30 years.
In some states and in some areas, the healthcare
sector is the largest employer in that particular
sector.
But here in Arkansas, you can see the wholesale
trade sector has grown the most.
Now, you'll notice that there's a couple of
sectors that there is no bar shown.
The mining, construction, and manufacturing
sectors don't have any data yet published.
Those statistics will be published on or around
August 27, which is actually why we pushed
off the release of the very last webinar about
the manufacture and mining construction sectors
to September 3.
Earlene mentioned that in her second slide.
You'll notice that one sector - educational
services - is so tiny it didn't even make
the cut for this report.
One of the things that Earlene mentioned was
that we scewed some activities from the Economic
Census data are covered by other sectors or
other programs.
That is true for educational services.
We do not publish data on primary and secondary
education - which includes college and universities
- because the National Center for Education
Statistics publishes data on that sector.
We don't want to burden those colleges and
universities with having to fill out two census
forms - one from us and one from NCES - so
instead, we just simply exclude that data.
That is also true for agriculture.
We used to actually conduct the Agriculture
Census through the 1997 Economic Census.
We conducted a Census of Agriculture at the
Census Bureau, but in 1997, we realized that
USDA National Agriculture Statistic Service
is specifically there to collect information
and publish data on farms on the agriculture
sector.
So in 1997, we actually moved the Agriculture
Census from the Census Bureau out to USDA.
In most of our data products at the Census
Bureau, agriculture is going to be excluded
from the table, but we do have some data tools
like Census Business Builder that merge together
the AG data from the USDA with the non-agriculture
data that we have for the other 18 sectors
in the Economic Census.
Now, you'll also notice that there are three
sectors here that are marked with an N/A in
the actual table - utilities information and
finance and insurance.
These three sectors we do not publish state
level data at the sector level total because
aggregating data at the state level across
all of the industries that comprised that
sector would end up with a number that essentially
means nothing.
However, we do have data at the state, metro,
and county levels for those sectors for specific
industry.
So, for example, let's say I was interested
banking in the State of Maryland, or in this
case, the State of Arkansas, we would have
data on that specific NAICS industry even
though we don't publish data for the financial
insurance sector as a whole.
So again, a quick look at some basic data
for Arkansas.
What I would encourage you all to do, those
of you certainly from Arkansas, is to go in
and actually see what industries within the
wholesale trade comprise this biggest chunk
of these sales.
Are there specific industries in the wholesale
trade that make up that huge increase, that
$12.9 billion increase between 2012 and 2017
or is that increased in wholesale activity
consistent across all of the industries in
the wholesale sectors?
Are there certain counties where wholesale
trade has really bloomed in Arkansas or is
that growth from the wholesale trade sector
across the entire state consistent across
the whole state?
Let's look at the data for Florida.
We see a similar pattern, again, of the wholesale
trade sector being the top sector, but looking
at the change over time we noticed that actually
the retail trade sector had a larger increase
in revenue between 2012 and 2017.
Now, I am a bit of a data nerd and curious
by nature, so I was curious to see what industries
within retail trade are seeing the largest
portion of that increase.
Is retail trade growing in the State of Florida
across all retail industries or is it concentrated
in some?
And what I found is something that many of
you might not be surprised to hear, but was
actually sort of interesting to see how much
of that growth it really had and that is in
non-store retailers.
But what we typically think of as consumers
as online shopping, that particular industry
in the State of Florida saw the largest growth
in the retail trade sector in comparison to
other sectors.
Now, looking at the other changes, we see
the admin and support and waste management
and remediation service actually have the
third largest increase in this particular
state.
Now, this industry or this sector includes
a wide variety of very different businesses,
but one type of industry, one industry that
was included in this particular NAICS sector
is employee releasing companies and will be
called, Professional Employer Organizations,
PEOs.
PEO's have boomed in the State of Florida
and these businesses that have workers that
they then place in a lease employment situation
all across the United States, most of their
revenue that they're generating is actually
counted by the PEOs that's based in the State
of Florida.
So it's a really interesting sector.
This is one of the few states where admin
and support waste management remediation was
actually seeing this kind of an increase.
So looking at the State of Georgia, we see
sort of a similar pattern as we saw in Arkansas.
Wholesale trade is the largest sector and
wholesale trade also was the sector that had
the largest increased between 2012 and 2017.
Again, I would encourage you all to check
out is this big increase in wholesale trade,
happening across all the industries within
this particular sector and is it happening
across all counties in Georgia or is it really
concentrated in certain counties?
Let's say Fulton County, Georgia, where Atlanta
is located.
Looking at the State of Michigan, we see that
a wholesale trade again is the largest sector
and that sector also had the largest increase.
However, I would state to everybody and remind
everybody that we have not yet published the
data in this chart from mining, construction,
and manufacturing.
So whether a wholesale trade actually is the
largest sector and has seen the margins growth
between 2012 and 2017 or whether it has not
and that their manufacturing is actually the
largest sector that we will see when that
data finally gets released.
Now, you'll notice over on the right-hand
side there actually is one sector that is
down between 2012 and 2017 and that is the
Management of Companies and Enterprises sector.
Management of Companies and Enterprises or
NAICS 55 is the sector that we use to classify
company headquarters and other sort of corporate
offices, payroll centers, divisional headquarters,
things like that.
Business where you have workers working in
their headquarters but are not actually engaged
in retailing or wholesaling or manufacturing
or many of the other industries those businesses
are located in.
So Management of Companies and Enterprise
that is the NAICS code that we use to capture
those workers that work at company headquarters
and it's an important sector for us to collect
data for because it allows us to separate
those non-producing and that's maybe a little
bit unfair saying that non-producing workers
from the workers that work in other businesses
like their manufacturing activities or like
their wholesale operations or like their transportation
operations, et cetera.
Now, I did just see a quick chat note that
came up.
Someone ask a question about the evidence
support sector, does that include temporary
agencies and employee type of employer agencies?
Yes, it does.
And again, that's something that you would
see if you looked at the data for Florida.
Florida, however, is not the only state that
has PEOs, these Professional Employer Organizations.
Looking at the data for New Mexico you notice
that the picture's a little different.
Retail trade is actually the largest sector
in New Mexico, slightly larger than the wholesale
trade sector, but when you look at the sector
that has the most growth in the State of New
Mexico from 2012 to 2017 you actually see
that it's a sector we haven't yet talked about
and that is Professional Scientific and Technical
services.
These are engineering firms.
These are consulting businesses.
These are lawyers.
Those types of businesses are all counted
in the Professional Scientific and Technical
services.
And those of you who are familiar with the
State of New Mexico you know that there are
a number of very large tech companies that
are based in New Mexico and you can see how
much their economy has really - how much their
growth has affected the overall economy of
the state.
The second largest sector was one that we
already talked about, health care and social
assistance, but I will say I was quite fascinated
- and maybe even a little alarmed - to see
this large $1 billion decline in the wholesale
trade sector between 2012 and 2017.
Earlene mentioned to you all that I will actually
be presenting information on at the New Mexico
State Data Center annual conference tomorrow
and in that conference tomorrow I will be
talking some more about providing some more
details on what we're seeing here about what's
going on in the economy in New Mexico in this
five-year period.
It is quite interesting to see what's going
on with wholesale, why we see that big decrease.
So turning our focus to Oklahoma, we, again,
see that the wholesale trade sector is the
largest.
Second largest is retail trade, but once again
we see another really fascinating decline
in the wholesale trade sector in the State
of Oklahoma.
In that five-year period, total sales of wholesale
trade businesses went from about $100 billion
to $66.9, almost $67 billion, a 35.9 or almost
$36 billion decline.
Now, what I was talking before about encouraging
you all to further explore where these changes
are occurring, what sectors they're occurring
in, what industries, the data sectors that
they're occurring geographically where these
changes are occurring, this is certainly something
I was really curious about when I was looking
at the data for Oklahoma.
I'm not going to be a spoiler here.
I want to encourage you all to check this
out.
But what you often see is changes in economy
in certain states, in certain sectors.
Sometimes those changes are due to general
growth or general decline across all businesses
in that sector in that state.
When you think about the increase in retail
sales, a lot of the increase you see in retail
sales across the country comparing 2012 to
2017 is due to price change.
When the price of gasoline increased from
2012 to 2017, some of that growth is reflective
then in the sales number and since we don't
adjust our sales data for inflation, a lot
of the increase is due to price change.
But other times these declines, these changes,
these big increases or big decreases can often
be attributed to a relatively small number
of businesses or companies that have entered
a market or have left a market.
So I would, again, encourage you guys to check
this out for the State of Oklahoma.
Now, our last Texas, the great State of Texas,
again, a very similar pattern as to what we
saw for some of the other sectors.
Wholesale trade is the largest sector with
over $1 trillion in sales in the wholesale
trade sector in Texas.
The second largest sector by quite a bit is
retail trade.
However, as I mentioned before, we haven't
yet published the data from mining, construction,
and manufacturing and I know that manufacturing
in this five-year period also really boomed.
So I'm really curious to see how wholesale
compares to manufacturing in Texas in this
five-year period.
Looking at the change between 2012 and 2017,
you can see that the wholesale trade, again,
had the largest sector, the largest increase
of about $77.4 billion, but close behind it
was actually the retail trade sector.
Right behind there was the health care sector
and then you can see the other sectors there
as well.
So again, this has just been a very brief
walk-through of some of the selected data
we have at the sector level by state.
I very much would encourage you all to further
explore these data in our new data.census.gov
platform where you can go in and understand
how are these changes in Texas occurring over
this period.
Is this growth uniform across the state or
is it concentrated in certain counties in
the State of Texas?
Okay.
So with that, let's close out the Webinar
today with some conversations about what's
coming up next.
Earlene mentioned that we will be completing
these local area releases by November.
It actually would be more, like, the end of
August.
So what comes up after this?
So Earlene mentioned this product lines data,
this really rich breakout of the detailed
products and services that the data of services
provided by businesses in a particular industry.
In the past, we used to publish data on product
lines in three very different ways of looking
at products data.
For the mining and manufacturing sectors,
we published product data one way, for the
construction sector we published it a second
way and for all of the sectors of the U.S.
economy, we published it a third way.
So if you were interested in looking at a
product across multiple sectors, Earlene brought
up the example of shoes, shoe manufacturers,
shoe retailers, shoe repair, we used to have
to wade through three very different ways
of accessing that data to pull that data together.
In the new way of releasing data following
the North American Product Classification
System, or NAPCS codes all of the product
data would be consolidated together in one
large consolidated file and I'm really happy
that we're doing that.
The NAPCS data will start coming out in November
of this year.
Now, Earlene also talked about these really
rich sized data that we have that are released
in something called, the Establishment Confirmed
Size Report.
These will come out in November of this year
through September of this year - excuse me
- September of next year and the big change
here is that we have substantially consolidated
these size tables that make it easier now
for people to pull together data by business
size.
So, for example, let's say I wanted to understand
the importance of small businesses in my state
and I - my definition of small are establishments
with fewer than five employees.
There is now a single table that has establishment-sized
data broken out by employment size where before
we had that establishment by employment size
tables in 20 different tables - actually 18
different tables - one separate table for
each sector of the economy.
Now, those tables are all going to be consolidated
together.
So now, I can pull out business-sized data
across multiple sectors of the economy from
one place.
I'm really happy we have done this.
This will certainly make it easier to access
this data in the new data.census.gov platform.
And then finally at the end of the entire
economic census, we will release something
called, the Miscellaneous Subjects Table.
This is a fascinating pile of really sort
of interesting tables.
For example, if you are ever interested in
looking at the sales of gas stations broken
out by how many pumps they have to identify
how many gas stations only have a single pump
and what are their sales versus what are the
gas stations that have 40 pumps or 30 pumps.
Those size breakouts of gas stations by number
of pumps is one of the tables we actually
published in the 20 subject areas.
So I would, again, encourage you guys to check
these out.
We will be doing a separate presentation,
a Webinar, on these upcoming data products
and in there we will be giving more information
about the tables that we are publishing for
2017 as opposed to those tables that we dropped.
There are a couple of brand new tables.
For example, if you wanted to get information
about electronic ordering in restaurants,
the fact that I can now walk into a restaurant
and actually have a keypad at my table so
I can place my order without even having to
talk to a waitress and a wait staff person,
that type of data will now be available in
the miscellaneous summary report.
So to summarize, the Economic Census provides
an amazing wealth of business data.
I've worked at the Census Bureau for almost
33 years now and I'm still fascinated by the
unbelievable detailed information that are
available through the Economic Census.
Because it's so comprehensive, it takes us
a long time to get the data released.
The data are released on a flow basis.
We'll be completing our local area data in
August of this year and, again, we have these
extra program series that are coming out after
there.
Again, I'd encourage you guys to check out
our releases schedule to be able to find that
information.
Geographies constantly change and I'm going
to harp on it one more time.
At any time you're making comparisons of business
data over time - not even say demographic
data - you always have to make sure that the
things that you are comparing is comparable.
So that comparability cannot only be geographies,
but it can be industry coverage.
I just saw someone asked a question about
when are we republishing data on Nano biotechnology.
We already have.
We started publishing that data already.
The complete data will now be available.
The industry has grown enough.
It has now warranted having its own NAICS
code.
So you'll see that data for the very first
time.
For the 2012 Economic Census, for example,
we created brand new NAICS codes for solar,
wind, geothermal, and bio mass electric power
generation.
So if you wanted to know how much solar electricity
is generated in the State of California each
year or in Arizona, that data is available.
So again, make change, geography change, very
important to know.
As Earlene mentioned, we are releasing all
of our Economic Census data on the new data.census.gov
platform.
I know many of you are probably bemoaning
the loss of American FactFinder, but I will
promise you that this will all be worth it.
Data.census.gov promises to provide a lot
more functionality that you could never do
in the new - in the old American Fact Finder
application.
So that information is now going to be available
eventually the way to manipulate those tables
in the new data.census.gov.
So I want to say thank you to everybody for
taking the time out of your busy day today
to listen to us present, my colleague, Earlene
and I present about this data.
Operator, let's go ahead and see if we have
any questions over the phone.
I have seen a whole bunch of chat questions
coming in while I was speaking.
So maybe we'll take a couple of those chat
questions while we're queuing up people for
the phone.
Coordinator: Thank you.
To ask a question, please press - sorry.
Earlene Dowell: No, you go.
Coordinator: To ask a question, please press
star, followed by one.
Please make sure that your mics are unmuted
and record your name clearly when prompted,
and to withdraw your request, please press
Star 2.
Earlene Dowell: Sorry about that, Erica.
Andy, one of the questions that came in - or
more of a statement from Susan, was that the
- it's not an annual conference, but an additional
WebEx training.
Andy Hait: Very good.
Thank you, Susan for clarifying.
Earlene Dowell: Yes.
And then here are some of the questions.
The mapping application on data.census.gov
does not seem to work for economic census
data published at the state level.
Do you have a timeline on what that mapping
application will be functional?
Also, and the same question, American FactFinder
has the functionality of downloading shape
files.
Does data.census.gov have something comparable?
Andy Hait: So let me pick on the first question
first.
The mapping functionality in data.census.gov
is a work in progress.
The economic geographies that we publish are
unique in some cases.
I'm actually a little bit surprised to hear
this user say that they are having problems
doing the mapping at the state level because
we haven't quite removed states I think in
a while.
I definitely will tell you mapping data at
the place level: Cities, towns, villages,
boroughs, that is very different on the economic
side than it is on the demographic side, but
I can definitely check into that.
My email address and phone number are here
on this slide.
Please go ahead and send me a little bit more
detailed information about those issues you're
having with the mapping functionality and
I can actually research that for you further.
The second part of that question was about
shape files.
Right now, the download options that are available
in the American - the data.census.gov do not
include the ability to download shape files,
but I do know that they are working on that
functionality on adding that ability to the
functionality of the application.
There are, however, I will say other Census
Bureau data tools that do allow you to download
shape files.
One of them is the Census Business Builder
application.
We actually added that functionality last
year and I know that Earlene can also tell
you that the ability to download shape files
are available through some of the local employment
dynamics, the longitudinal employer-household
dynamic data products.
So yes, we do have that ability.
Of course, shape files can be downloaded from
our TIGERweb services as well, but yes that
functionality is being added to data.census.gov.
Earlene Dowell: And Andy, same attendee, on
more question.
I think Andy just said data for six-digit
NAICS is actually not available at the state
level?
Just clarifying.
Andy Hait: So the level of NAICS details that
is published by geography varies widely from
industry to industry.
And the biggest way I can explain why it varies
is the number of businesses in that industry.
When you think about an industry like restaurants,
there are hundreds of thousands of restaurants
in the United States.
So our ability to publish data for specific
geographies like right down to cities and
towns and specific 6-digit NAICS codes within
that restaurant sort of sector is easy.
We have plenty of businesses to be able to
tabulate and there's very little issue with
the suppression of data because there's so
many businesses, even in some of the smallest
towns at least have a couple of restaurants
there that would allow us to continue publishing
the data and not violate the privacy of those
businesses.
In other sectors of the U.S. economy, that
is not true at all.
For example, in the mining sector, there are
only 38,000 mining facilities in the entire
United States.
So breaking out that data by industry and
by geography gets really challenging really
quick because quickly you can end up identifying
a single business in a particular state in
a particular industry.
So in that case, we actually very often only
show the two, three and four-digit NAICS data,
but not provide the more detailed five and
six-digit codes again because of privacy.
We are bound by Title 13 of the U.S. code
to protect the privacy of businesses who respond
to our programs so if Earlene and I owned
the only two gas stations in our little town,
Census couldn't publish the data because she
can easily subtract her employment and her
payroll and her revenues for her business
from the total and know exactly what a cheapskate
I am in terms of how much I pay my employees.
So we definitely take that privacy protection
very seriously and it has a big impact on
the data that we can publish.
Operator, do we have any questions on the
phone yet?
Woman: Hello?
Andy Hait: Hello?
Woman: I have a question.
When will we actually be starting to work?
Andy Hait: When will the - what again?
Woman: When will we actually work?
Like, when will we actually be - I'm in the
fields operations.
So I'm - this is my first time.
I'm trying to figure out how to do everything.
So, like, when will we actually start working?
Andy Hait: So you are newly hired...
Woman: A Census taker, yes.
Andy Hait: ... working on 2020?
Yes.
So for today's Webinar, we're really focusing
on the econ census data.
I actually don't know exactly what the (unintelligible)...
Woman: What the government has planned?
Andy Hait: Yes.
I know it's still a work in progress of when
we're going to actually going to be enumerators
out on the street.
Obviously, from a state-by-state basis those
(unintelligible)...
Woman: This is Arkansas.
It's not very big and it's (unintelligible)
just saying.
Andy Hait: Yes.
Yes, it's a very challenging situation that
we are all in.
So yes, unfortunately, I don't have a good
answer for you.
So...
Woman: It's okay.
I appreciate you for trying to answer it.
Andy Hait: No problem.
Coordinator: No questions on the phone at
this time.
Earlene Dowell: Great, Andy, I have a list
here.
Andy Hait: Sure.
Okay.
Earlene Dowell: All right.
So another question is I know that this data
is collected every five years, but I was wondering
if there are any more recent economic data
that you collect.
Andy Hait: Yes.
So absolutely.
So as Earlene mentioned when she was starting
off the presentation, she talked about - she
showed you all that pyramid with the Monthly
and Quarterly surveys at the top, the Annual
programs in the middle and the Economic Census
at the bottom.
So certainly we have more timely data than
the Economic Census.
I was just doing a presentation yesterday
where we were talking with the user about
the monthly retail trade data that we published
just recently for the month of May and June.
When you look at that data, the impact of
COVID is about as much a slap in the face
as you can imagine as a huge decline in retail
sales due to COVID-19.
So certainly we have more timely data.
The challenge though is the level of detail
that is shown.
As Earlene mentioned, those really, really
timely monthly and quarterly surveys are really
valuable because they give us a reality check
of what's happening in our economy last month,
but those data are only shown for limited
industries, limited industry levels, there's
very few data variables shown in that thing.
For example, the monthly retail sales numbers
literally had one statistic.
Retail sales, there's no business count, there's
no employment, there's no payroll.
It's just establishment.
It's just sales.
And it's pre-limited in terms of geography.
Earlene mentioned that there's only two exceptions,
those monthly and quarterly surveys are only
shown at the National level.
So yes, you've got more timely data, but it's
not going to give you the level of geographic
detail.
The annual programs give you a little bit
more detail, more geography, more industry
details, but nothing honestly is as detailed
as the Economic Census is.
Now, I will tell you that in working with
users I often refer people to other data providers
that have detailed information.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics conducts a
program called the Quarterly Census of Employment
and Wages, the QCEW, and as you can imagine,
it's a quarterly survey.
So they have data through the first quarter
of 2020 and they're probably getting close
to having second quarter 2020 data coming
out in the next couple of weeks or month or
so.
It's very timely data down to the county level.
So it's pretty detailed in terms of facts,
but the QCEW only publishes data on establishments,
employment and payroll period.
There's no revenue data in QCEW.
So if your measure of economic growth in your
community is revenue.
Then you really do need to look at the Economic
Census.
What I tell users often is use the Economic
Census to understand these historical trends
and then essentially project the Economic
Census data forward using the monthly and
quarterly and annual programs as an approximation
now you have to make the leap of faith when
you do that, let's say, with the growth across
my state or across all counties in my state
is consistent, and, of course, that's - as
an economist, that makes me cringe a little
bit.
But people often want to be able to do that.
But yes, the econ census around because it's
the most comprehensive thing that we do.
Earlene Dowell: Andy, is the smallest geographic
area City or County?
Andy Hait: So in the Economic Census, most
detailed geographies that we publish is city,
town, village or borough or what we call a
place and that includes both incorporated
places like cities, but also include unincorporated
areas for what the Census Bureau calls the
Census Designated Place.
For example, where I live in Maryland, it's
the CDP.
It's not an incorporated city.
There's actually only one incorporated city
in my entire county.
That is the City of Annapolis.
The place is the smallest geography we go
down to in the Economic Census.
The ZIP Code Business Pattern Program does
publish establishment counts by employment
size by ZIP code and that is as far down as
you go in the economic - in our economic program
at the Census Bureau.
We don't go below ZIP code.
We don't, for example, produce data at the
census track or at the block group, or certainly
at the block level because, again, it would
be so easy to have to suppress pretty much
everything because there'd be so few businesses
in a particular industry and any particular
census track.
Earlene Dowell: All right, Andy.
The creative class is doing great in New Mexico.
Is that reflected in the relative outcomes
in view of COVID Coronavirus epidemic?
Richard Florida himself is a bicyclist and
writes about obesity back in 2008/2009 with
Swine Flu.
Obesity was a factor and it is now as well.
How do we find...
Andy Hait: Right.
Earlene Dowell: Yes.
So I guess that's one question or one statement.
Andy Hait: Okay.
So the first part about the creative sector
in New Mexico, the - a lot of the types of
businesses that we would typically think of
as creative would be classified as the arts,
entertainment recreation sector and we could
certainly look at how that sector has changed
in the State of New Mexico.
The more recent data that we have would show
how that sector is being impacted.
Arts, entertainment, recreation actually when
you look at some of our very timely small
business Pulse Survey data that had just come
out recently on the COVID-19 impacts, as well
as, the business formation statistics data,
you would see that that sector is really getting
hammered nationwide and certainly by state.
It's not stating the impact that the accommodation
food services sector, of course, NAICS 72
is being impacted.
That's restaurants and hotels that have, you
know, 50%, 70% of these businesses that had
to shut down because of COVID-19.
The arts and entertainment and recreation
sector is not being affected as much as that
sector is, but it definitely is being impacted.
Whether those businesses come back we will
see.
The data hopefully will show that they are
recovering.
Was there another question, Earlene, to take?
Earlene Dowell: Yes.
Yes.
Yes, I have - no, not - I - there's just more.
How do we find what areas within the border
categories is, i.e., wholesale trade, are
impacted and to what extent and where within
the location?
Andy Hait: So I guess this person is sort
of taking to heart what I was saying when
we were walking through the state level data
in those charts.
The data I was showing you was shown at a
very aggregated geographic level by state
and they were shown at a very aggregated level
by industry at the 2-digit NAICS sector, but
in the data.census.gov platform, I could not
only look at wholesale trade as a whole, but
I could then go in and roll out and look at
the wholesale trade sector by three digits
or four-digit or five and six-digit NAICS
codes.
So the more detailed industry breakouts.
And that would help me then understand the
big increase we're seeing in wholesale trade
in a particular state is concentrated in a
particular industry or maybe conversely that
growth is happening across the entire sector.
For example, a little preview of the New Mexico
data that I will be talking about tomorrow,
when you look at the wholesale trade growth
in New Mexico the piece of wholesale trade
that has grown the most is for motor vehicle
and parts wholesalers.
So that particular three-digit NAICS code
has been a substantial portion, more than
half of the growth in the State of New Mexico
has happened in that particular industry within
the broader wholesale trade sector.
Then, of course, you could then similarly
drill down from the state down to metros and
counties within the state.
You can say, okay, within the wholesale trade
sector I can tell that the motor vehicle and
parts wholesalers are growing.
Is that growth primarily concentrated in one
or two counties - let's say one or two counties
in New Mexico - or is that growth happening
across the State of New Mexico and is it - are
multiple counties growing in that?
So it really helps when you drill down to
that more detailed data you hope to understand
whether that growth that is occurring is concentrated
in a relatively small number of industries
and geographies and therefore that's a very
sort of concentrated growth or whether that
growth is more sort of holistic across all
of the different industries and geographies
within that state.
So yes, that's - and that's the kind of thing
I would encourage you people to do using the
data.census.gov platform.
Earlene Dowell: Would charging stations for
electric vehicles be included under the solar
NAICS code?
Andy Hait: So the short answer, no.
The data for the utilities sector which would
include that industry for solar geothermal
wind and biomass electric power generation
- that utility sector is primarily cover businesses
that generate electricity or scheme or other
forms of other utility and distribute them.
A electric charging station is actually classified
in the would be - with either the retail - you
know, retail sector.
It's classified under that activity or it's
classified under the NAICS code where auto
repair and other types of businesses like
that are classified.
Right now, there it not to the best of my
knowledge a specific NAICS code for electric
charging stations because very often that
service is provided by a business that has
other services.
For example, the gas stations I frequent here
in town has four charging stations that are
right there at that particular brand of gas
stations.
It's just a service that the gas station provides
to customers who come in to fill up their
car with gasoline or diesel, but also to service
people who have Teslas and other vehicles
that they need to plug in.
So that service is provided and, again, it
doesn't have its own NAICS code.
Earlene Dowell: Are Tribal Nation jurisdictions
recorded as geography - geographic areas within
the data?
Andy Hait: So it's a complicated question
and the short answer is in our economic program
at the Census Bureau, businesses that are
located on tribal land and whether those businesses
are tribal-owned businesses or non-tribal-owned
businesses, those businesses are tabulated
in the, quote/unquote, "regular geography"
that they are located in.
So if that business is located in a particular
county or a particular place, city, town,
village or borough, they are tabulated in
that regular, quote/unquote, "standard geography."
In our economic programs area, we currently
do not publish data by tribal geography.
So I know that that has been an ongoing discussion.
There's a lot of users certainly in New Mexico,
but in many other states as well asking when
are we going to ever publish business data
by tribal geography.
I understand there are discussions who potentially
do that for the 2022 Economic Census.
The discussions that came up for 2017 given
the lobbyer problems that we were having with
funding and major government shut down, those
discussions were tabled for 2017, but the
- it's a possibility.
There are some users who are doing custom
tabulations using the micro data, the PUMS
type files, to create summaries of businesses
by tribal areas and there are a few other
federal agencies like DOS that publishes data
by tribal geography, but we don't unfortunately
at the Census Bureau.
Sorry.
Earlene Dowell: And Andy, here's the final
question.
It's almost 3:15.
What adjustments will be made for 2020 to
account for COVID?
What adjustments to - do you foresee for 2020
to account for COVID - oh, that's twice.
I'm sorry.
Have you thought about this yet and how will
it be identified in data sets?
Andy Hait: So if we're talking about the business
data that we'll be publishing for the 2020
timeframe, certainly when you think about
our monthly and quarterly surveys that are
already collecting data for calendar year
and month during 2020, we are already seeing
impacts to our business collection processes,
how we collect data from business, from - for
businesses that are being impacted by COVID-19.
For a long time our call center was not in
operation at the Census Bureau.
So if a business did not respond to their
electronic data collection or their paper
forms that we sent them, we didn't have staff
to call them to say hey, you know, earlier
you didn't fill out your form for your business,
I need the data.
So we definitely have seen some impacts of
our ability to reach businesses that might
not be open during the - and it has made our
collection efforts a little bit more challenging.
That is certainly true or certainly more true
in some industries than it is in others.
In manufacturing, we probably haven't seen
nearly the impact on response rates and things
like that to our business data that we would
see in, like accommodation and food services
sector because, again, the types of businesses
that we're collecting from, those headquartered
employees of a big manufacturer, they probably
were still working.
So they may not have been working in the office,
like, Earlene and I haven't been back in our
office for a month, but they were still working
and those workers were probably were still
able to complete their census forms because
they were still actually working.
But yes, it's going to be a very interesting
time period.
I will say this in closing that I would encourage
you all to check out these pre-new programs
that were created specifically to measure
the impact of COVID-19.
There are two pulse surveys.
There's something called the Small Business
Pulse Survey and the Household Pulse Survey
that collect information on how COVID-19 has
been affecting small businesses and how it's
been affecting households, and we also have
a survey called - a program called, Business
Formation Statistics that was updated to produce
weekly estimates of new business formation.
So we not only have existing businesses that's
been affected by COVID-19, but so have start-ups.
A lot of businesses that might have started
up during this timeframe have put their start-up
plans on hold because there's no sense in
trying to open when they can't even, you know,
meet the needs of their potential customers
under this current environment.
So we're seeing those and we also have a fourth
survey called, the Community Resilience Estimate
that, again, helps identify communities that
are particularly vulnerable to shock, who
not only shocked by COVID-19, but even things
like hurricanes and floods and other fires
and things like that.
So I would definitely encourage you all to
check out those new programs if you go to
Texas.gov and just search for them in the
search box you'll come right to them.
So thank you so much, Earlene, for pulling
together all those questions.
Operator, do we have any other questions that
might've come in on the phone?
Coordinator: No questions on the phone at
this time.
And as a reminder to ask a question, please
press star, followed by 1.
Andy Hait: Great.
Okay.
Well, again, thank you all so much for taking
time out of your busy schedules.
Sorry for running about 20 minutes later than
we originally had planned for today, but lots
of great questions.
I'm really happy we had good attendance today.
So have a wonderful day.
Coordinator: This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect at this time.
