First, the fact is that nowadays, there are less wars than before
and the tiny amount of nowadays' wars make less and less deaths than before, and last less and less.
So why would society collapse as things are going better and better ?
It'd be strange.
Secondly, on an ecological and natural point of view, things are really not that bad.
Of course nature is not going that well, but it's not that negative.
I'll make a video about it, to understand why there's still hope.
Those facts given, we can still hypothesize that a collapse will happen.
But this kind of dark predictions were already made in the past (and proven wrong).
In 1968, Paul Elrich wrote a book called "the Population Bomb"
assessing that the population growth in the 1970s and 1980s
would create lots of starvation, and great wars based on it
millions of dead people. But it just never happened.
Then, scare-mongering is sometimes (if not often) wrong.
Once again, I'll talk about it in a video about nature.
Jared Diamond wrote the book "Collapse"
where he depicts societies collapses that occured in the past.
He explains the factors that led to these collapse,
such as dependence on neighbors, human impact on nature, etc. (check description)
He suggests that when these 5 factors are gathered, we are in deep shit.
But ! A book called "questioning collapse" as an answer to this book.
In this book, scientists explain that indeed societies collapsed in the past because of these factors.
But it doesn't mean that societies that societies necessarily fall when those factors are encountered.
"Questioning collapse" authors explain that, when living hard times,
a society's survival is more a rule than an exception.
Therefore, collapses are more an exception than a rule.
One on the things that could make us think that collapse is unavoidable is population growth.
That was Thomas Malthus's prediction.
He suggested that agricultural overproduction would make population grow to a point where
there would not be enough food and ressources for all the world's population.
But !
When the "Population Bomb" and starvation wars never happened in the 1970s-80s
it was because food overproduction indeed creates population overgrowth.
But overpopulation means more people.Therefore it means that more brains can think about solutions to prevent people from starving.
Hence a balance between overpopulation and food/resources.
It seems that it is what is happening (and what happened in the past)
It can make us think that society will never collapse.
But we must remain careful.
