while all politics is local specific
issues and events are also affected by
the push and pull of global power
politics the bipolar world that emerged
after the second world war was in many
ways simple, and two parts emerged the US
and Soviet Union these power controlling
clear geographical areas with two
different and mutually exclusive
economic systems with the fall of Berlin
Wall this bipolar world gave way to the
unipolar movement from 1989 to 2003 when
the US and its Western Allies dominated
world politics and economics this singular
structure collapsed after American
unilateral invasion of Iraq and 2008
Western financial crisis today when
policy and media attention is focused on
several specific events and crises, these
crises include Syrian crisis North Korea
and Ukraine,
most of these events are being
influenced by the interaction of
interests and priorities of three powers
these powers include America China and
Russia the magnitude and scope of the
power of each of these three Center is
different and unequal America is no
longer the world hegemon but it remains
a single most powerful nation its power
flows from its primacy in military
economic and technological superiority
US influence is pervasive China
was the world's most powerful and
advanced civilization for millennia it
is now on a trajectory to recover its
place as a world's largest economy
within a decade its military power
roll is growing rapidly China's new
confidence in dealing with other nation
,near or far, is evident yet China's
major strategic concern are either
domestic- to preserve its hard won
reunification or regional- to ensure that
the nation on its periphery are friendly
or at least non-hostile unlike the u.s.
China don't propagate its values to
others and hold back from interfering in
their internal affairs and this is both
a strength and a weakness
russia' power almost evaporated after the
collapse of former Soviet Union when
Moscow largely adhered to Western and US
political economic and diplomatic
priorities. utilizing the leverage
provided by Russia's oil and other
natural resources, its nuclear and
military capabilities and mechanisms of
the Soviet state,
Vladimir's put in has successfully
revived Moscow's influence and role
especially in Europe and Asia however
with an insufficiently developed
economic and financial system, growing
centrifugal forces particularly in
muslim-majority regions, and a declining
population, Russia's rise may not be
sustainable without major social
economic reforms the tri-polar world is
similar to its bipolar world the US and
Russia has areas of influence the u.s.
leads the anglo-saxon countries these
countries include Europe Japan South
Korea and much of the central and south
america russia's influence is limited
mainly to the Commonwealth of
Independent States and Central Asia
China on the other hand has no formal
allies Pakistan comes closest to this
definition China's influence is
exercised largely through economic
leverage which is considerable but
Beijing is increasingly willing to
assert itself when its national or territory
interests are at stake as in the maritime
dispute with Vietnam
the Philippines & Japan unlike the u.s.
Soviet cold war
today's tri-polar world is complex
Rivalry and proxy conflicts coexist
with close interdependence and common
interest great power rivalry cover support
for opposing sides- in territorial and
internal disputes, contest for natural
resources, competition for markets,
hostile armed development and deployment
and ideological propagation
simultaneously there are significant
areas of common interest and
interdependence and these areas include
trade, finance, energy, natural resources
migration and climate change in the
current power paradigm there are at
least a dozen emerging countries which
possess the capacity to play an
independent power role in future and these
include India Brazil Mexico Turkey Iran
Saudi Arabia Indonesia Pakistan Egypt
South Africa Nigeria and Kazakh star
at present however they are able to
exercise influence only in conjunction
with one or the other of the three
principle world powers but the future
acquisition of the instruments of power
will determine whether today's tri-polar
world will become a multipolar or be
reduced to biplar rivalry between US and
China in this context the fate of the
India's aspiration for global power are
particularly relevant these aspiration
have been barely dented in recent months
as the challenges of poverty a
stratified society and endemic
corruption accompanying its much
heralded democratic governance become
fully evident and it would appear that
India's independent great power role will be
postponed at least for a decade or two
another major determinant will be the
final resolution of the internal
stresses & division within the Islamic
world
these division are between the modernist
and conservative vision of the Islamic
elites versus the conservative and
Islamist preferences of the masses in
some Muslim countries this division has
been accentuated and compounded by the
external intervention and escalated to
violence and terrorism in this violence
and terrorism is local, regional
and global now this modernist
conservative division is being further
confounded by the growing conflict
between Sunni and Shia Islam the Islamic
world has the potential to emerge as a
fourth pole in a global power structure
but only if the internal divisions can
be effectively addressed and overcome by
the Muslim leaders and their people I
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